67 F. average high on May 7.
78 F. high on May 7, 2013.
TODAY: Windy, warm and humid. Scattered storms, some turning severe. WInds: SE 15. High: 79
THURSDAY NIGHT: Evening storms, some strong. Low: 52
FRIDAY: Breezy and cooler. Showers taper early, some PM clearing. High: 61
SATURDAY (FISHING OPENER): Some sun early, PM showers likely. Wake-up: 43. High: 68
MOTHER'S DAY: Early sun, rain arrives PM hours. Wake-up: 54. High: 59
MONDAY: Periods of rain, fairly foul. Wake-up: 47. High: 55
TUESDAY: Partial clearing. Hello April. Wake-up: 44. High: 61
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, light showers. Wake-up: 44. High: 56
There's nothing more enjoyable than fumbling with a fishing rod, wrapped in multiple layers like The Michelin Man, shivering uncontrollably as you grip that can of ice-cold beer, on the lookout for slabs of lake ice.
Amazingly, weather for Saturday's Fishing Opener looks better than that: AM peeks of sun - dry early with PM rain showers and a south breeze at 10 mph (minor walleye chop). Expect dawn temperatures near 40F - highs in the low 60s north to upper 60s on Twin Cities lakes. With a falling barometer and showers in the forecast you might actually catch some fish this year.
I wish I had better news for mom. An embroidered umbrella might make a lovely gift for Mother's Day this year. Expect some rain late Sunday, even heavier on Monday as a storm spins up just to our east. Grilling optional.
Expect some watches/warnings later today; some storms packing hail, even a stray tornado can't be ruled out. It's ripe for severe, but pinpointing which towns will see hail/high winds, more than 30 minutes in advance, is a fool's errand. Keep an eye on the sky today and be ready to move to a shelter.
Enjoy 60s into Saturday but temperatures stumble to April-like levels (50s) by early next week.
.95" rain by Friday morning at KMSP. (00z NAM model)
Fishing Opener weather details below.
Volatile. Warm air surging north will spark severe storms from Minnesota south to Texas today; a few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. Locally heavy rains may trigger flash flooding in some communities; the next round of (lighter) showers pushing into Minnesota in time for Saturday's Fishing Opener. NAM Future Radar courtesy of NOAA and HAMweather.
Alerts Broadcaster Briefing: Issued Wednesday night, May 7, 2014.
* Conditions ripe for more severe thunderstorms into Thursday night from Dallas to Kansas City, Des Moines and the Twin Cities.
* NOAA SPC may upgrade "Slight Risk" to "Moderate Risk" - indicating a significant higher risk of large, violent tornadoes, especially from central Minnesota to northern Iowa (area shaded in red below).
* I expect multiple Tornado Watches to be issued Thursday; upper air dynamics favorable for a few significant tornadoes capable of widespread damage and injury. If confirmed tornadoes approach metropolitan areas Tornado Emergencies may be issued.
Summary: The latest frontal system has already spun up confirmed tornadoes over northeastern Colorado (well away from the Denver market), and I expect more numerous tornadoes Thursday, especially central Minnesota into central Iowa, but a few tornadoes may develop as far south as Kansas City, Little Rock and Dallas. The greatest risk (as always) is high winds and hail. Any tornadoes that do form will impact a tiny percentage of the area - but it's impossible to predict which towns and larger metro areas may be impacted until 15-30 minutes before they strike. Pay attention to all watches and warnings later today.
Paul Douglas - Senior Meteorologist - Alerts Broadcaster
* Increasing CO2 Threatens Human Nutrition. Here's the abstract at Nature.
Observed Temperature Increases. This isn't output from a climate model, but rather observed temperature increases: 1991-2012 mean temperatures vs. the 1901-1960 average. Parts of southern Alabama have cooled, but the vast majority of the USA has warmed, with the greatest warming over the northern and western USA, precisely what climate models were predicting 30 years ago. Source: National Climate Assessment.
Graphic credit: Grosvenor.
- Agriculture, water, energy, transportation, and more, are all affected by climate change." (p.33)
- Climate change is already affecting societies and the natural world (p. 32)
- Climate change affects more than just temperature. The location, timing, and amounts of precipitation will also change as temperatures rise. (p. 29, Figure)..."