82 F. average high on June 26.
89 F. high on June 26, 2013.
Saturday: wetter day of the weekend.
Sunday: warmer day of the weekend with more sun, slight severe T-storm risk.
Breaking news: we may have to sacrifice this weekend for a blue-sky, 3-star, award-winning 4th of July. That's the weather headline.
Our in-house statistician informs me that the first 26 days of June brought 86 percent of the moisture we normally see during an ENTIRE meteorological summer; June 1 to August 30. We've picked up 82 percent of the moisture we see during an entire year, on average.
Translation: our state is seriously saturated and any heavy rain this weekend will almost immediately run off into streets and streams. Models print out 1-2 inches of additional rain by Monday, but that's an average. Some communities will see more, others less.
T-storms with downpours arrive today and Saturday; a few storms Sunday may spark damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado - as highs surge well into the 80s and an unstable atmosphere begins to bubble and boil.
A strong surge of cooler, drier Canadian air arrives next week. Sweatshirts may be required by midweek up north, but an expansive bubble of high pressure treats us to bright sun, light winds and low humidity July 3-4, then (wait for it..) more T-storms next weekend.
Think of it as karma. We've earned a memorable 4th.
* Photo credit upper left: Brad Birkholz.
1.26" rain predicted for MSP (00z NAM model).
1.6" rain by Monday (12z ECMWF model).
2.9" rain forecast for the next 16 days (18z GFS model).
10.85" rain so far in June in the Twin Cities.
11.67" all-time June rainfall record (1874).
Photo credit above: "A roof was torn off a home on the Kawacatoose First Nation in Saskatchewan after a tornado struck in 2010." (CBC)
Map credit: Jordan Tessler.
Photo credit above: "United States' DaMarcus Beasley is taken off the field with an injury during the group G World Cup soccer match between the United States and Portugal at the Arena da Amazonia in Manaus, Brazil, Sunday, June 22, 2014." (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez).
Map credit above: "Texas' wind farms are concentrated mostly along the Gulf Coast in the Panhandle region, and in far West Texas." Credit: EIA.
Image credit: Tesla Motors, which has more information on the 2015 Tesla Model X here.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy and unsettled, few T-storms likely. Dew point: 68. Winds: SE 15. High: 82
FRIDAY NIGHT: More showers and T-storms, some heavy. Low: 70
SATURDAY: Sticky and windy with lot's of clouds, numerous T-storms. Winds: S 15-25. High: 83
SUNDAY: Sunny start, severe PM T-storms? Wake-up: 71. High: 87
MONDAY: Partly sunny, cooler and drier. Wake-up: 67. High: 82
TUESDAY: Fresh Canadian air. AM sun - PM clouds. Wake-up: 64. High: 78
WEDNESDAY: Sun & clouds. Hints of September in the air. Dew point: 47. Wake-up: 59. High: 69
THURSDAY: Bright sun, less wind. Perfect. Wake-up: 51. High: 74
4th of July: Sun dimmed by high clouds, still comfortable. Winds: SW 5-15. High: 79