83 F. average high on July 4.
90 F. high on July 4, 2013.
Slight severe storm risk Red River Valley later today.
First 90 F. high of 2014 possible tomorrow.
Wash. Rinse. Repeat.
I wish Mother Nature would kick back with a cold one and just take the holiday weekend off. Show a little mercy for weather-weary meteorologists slumped over a hot Doppler.
We live in a state of perpetual paranoia that peaks on major holidays, because we know more people are outside, following the forecast even closer than usual.
I'm up at our cabin north of Brainerd, anxious to disconnect from my laptop and spend some quality time on the pontoon. My goal is to NOT talk about the weather for 72 hours.
No such luck.
The latest warm front sparks a few T-storms today, but enough sun should leak through the haze for 80s. 90F isn't out of the question tomorrow; it would be the first of 2014. We cool off again by midweek, in fact the forecast is almost a carbon copy of last week; evidence of a 7-day storm cycle. After a welcome dip in dew point Wednesday & Thursday we heat up to near 90 again next Friday and Saturday.
Summer took it's sweet old time, but it's finally here.
Mark Seeley reports a statewide average 8.09 inches of rain in June, "A record historical high not only for June, but for any month of the year" he wrote. Glencoe saw 14.6", nearly 4 month's worth! Details below.
* photo credit above: Russ Latimer.
Ada 9.20 inches
International Falls 10.24 inches
Littefork 9.23 inches
Waskish 8.93 inches
Kabetogama 11.58 inches
Benson 10.49 inches
Dawson 8.27 inches
Chaska 13.84 inches
Glencoe 14.61 inches..."
Lightning photo credit: A.J. Pena.
"Advancing into July without a 90-degree max in the Twin Cities is a relatively common occurrence in the long-term record; roughly one-in-five summers. However, it is less common in recent decades: occurring only in 1974, 1981, 1993, 2003, and 2014 over the past 40 years. (see: http://climate.umn.edu/text/historical/mspmaxtge90.txt )
There have been three summers in the Twin Cities record where 90 degrees was never reached at all: 1902, 1915, and 1993. You may recall the summer of 1993. Like this year (thus far), the summer of 1993 was extraordinarily wet in the Midwest. It's interesting to note that the previous summer, 1992, reported only three 90-degree days. On average, 1992 was far colder than 1993. Similar to this year to-date, average temperatures in 1993 were propped up by elevated minimum temperatures due to the persistent cloudiness..."
Photo credit above: "This Friday, July 4, 2014 aerial photo provided by the U.S. Coast Guard shows flooding caused by Hurricane Arthur on the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Arthur struck North Carolina as a Category 2 storm with winds of 100 mph late Thursday, taking about five hours to move across the far eastern part of the state." (AP Photo/U.S. Coast Guard, Petty Officer 3rd Class David Weydert).
- Governor of NC says the beaches are open for business.
- Repairs are underway and efforts are being remade to restore access to Highway 12 and Hatteras Island (More: http://darecountyem.com/repairs-underway-for-nc-highway-12-on-hatteras-island/). Until then, access to and from Hatteras Island on Highway 12 will remain closed. This includes the Villages of Rodanthe, Waves, Salvo, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, and Hatteras.
- The number of power outages continues to decrease across the area. Numbers as of 1:30 CT:
- Duke Energy: 4,300+ customers across North Carolina
- Dominion Electric: ~100 customers in North Carolina & 1,100+ customers in Virginia.
- NC Electric Coops: ~23,000 AS OF 8:30 THIS MORNING - no updated number this afternoon as of yet
- No reported casualties.
- Ferry service to Ocracoke Island is resuming this afternoon, though with restrictions. More: https://apps.ncdot.gov/newsreleases/details.aspx?r=10059&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
- The USCG Mid-Atlantic has great photos of flooding in the Outer Banks: https://twitter.com/uscgmidatlantic
- Mass EMA says greatest impacts between 9PM and Midnight, with minor coastal flooding and beach erosion on north side of Nantucket. Widespread 3-5" rain amounts possible.
Summary: Although damage across North Carolina's Outer Banks was moderate, no confirmed fatalities have been reported from Arthur, a testament to advance warning and local officials making the call for mandatory/voluntary evacuations. Arthur is still packing a formidable punch, and more weather-related impacts are likely across coastal New England into early Saturday, followed by rapid improvement tomorrow as the soggy remains of Arthur push toward Nova Scotia, the storm the rough equivalent of a severe wintertime Nor'easter. This will be the last update on Arthur unless we see a significant change in track or intensity.
Paul Douglas - Senior Meteorologist - Alerts Broadcaster
Photo credit above: "Joey Chestnut is widely favored to win this year's International Hot Dog Eating Contest again. The contest speaks to hot dogs' portability and minimal mess." Photograph: Shannon Stapleton / Reuters.
TODAY: Partly sunny, more humid with a few T-storms. Dew point: 66. Winds: S 15. High: 85
SATURDAY NIGHT: A few T-storms possible, still sticky. Low: 72
SUNDAY: Hot sun, isolated T-storm. High: near 90
MONDAY: Morning sun, PM T-shower risk. Wake-up: 68. High: 83
TUESDAY: Unsettled, lingering T-showers. Wake-up: 63. High: 81
WEDNESDAY: More sun, cooler and less humidity. Dew point: 54. Wake-up: 61. High: 78
THURSDAY: Intervals of sun, still pleasant. Wake-up: 58. High: 81
FRIDAY: Sunny, heating up again. Dew point: 66. Wake-up: 67. High: 89
- Precipitation in the Midwest has been increasing since the ’30s, including increases in overall precipitation and an increase in extreme precipitation events.
- Midwest flooding presents a major economic risk in the Midwest—the 1993 Mississippi flood was the costliest flood in modern times after Hurricane Katrina. In 2008, another flood in Cedar Rapids incurred over $10 billion in damages.
- These historic floods were caused by persistent heavy rainfall. Research shows that the trend towards heavier rainfall events has resulted in an overall increase in flood risk across the region.
- The risk of levee failure is a significant hazard, as the Midwest contains nearly 4,000 miles of levees, many of which are in poor condition.
File photo from Mosul, Iraq: Moises Saman/The New York Times.