59 F. average high on October 14.
55 F. high on October 14, 2013.
October 14, 1968: Short-sleeve weather across central and southern Minnesota. The high was 85 in the Twin Cities.
October 14, 1899: Heavy precipitation with 3.2 inches of rain in the St. Cloud area and 2.1 inches in Willmar.
It's cliche but what a difference a year makes. Or 194 years, for that matter. On this date in 1820 dazed settlers at Fort Snelling were digging out from a freak 11 inch snowfall. Yes, mid-October blizzards are rare - but not unheard of. NOAA confirms a white-out on October 13, 1880 shut down much of southwest Minnesota. The town of Canby experienced 20-foot drifts "which lasted until the next spring."
Insert gasp here.
And here we are in 2014, mowing our lawns, raking leaves, admiring a streak of 60s under a flawless sky.
It's looking more and more like a Super-Sized September. Expect Indian Summer to spill over into Thursday before a late-week temperature correction. Highs hold in the 50s Friday into the weekend, a slight chance of a shower on Sunday. But no major storms or fronts are brewing - prevailing jet stream winds aloft blowing more from the Pacific than the Arctic Circle - more of a "zonal flow" which results in milder, drier weather for Minnesota.
60s return next week; 70F a possibility within 1 week. Halloween weather? It's too early for specifics, but I suspect 50s; probably milder than average. Not the 9 inches of wet snow we saw on Halloween 1991.
Photo credit above: "USFS research scientist Malcolm North examines a tree killed in the 2013 Rim Fire." Credit Amy Quinton/CPR.
* More details from Nanyang Technical University.
This will be a black tie dinner event that includes guest speakers; Paul Douglas, local meteorologist, Steve Flagg (President QBP), Matt Andrews (International Mountain Bicycling Association) and Libby Hurley (MN High School Mountain Bike League) as well as live and silent auctions to support MORC’s efforts moving forward. Also excited to announce "The Lost Wheels" providing live musical entertainment for the evening!
Tickets are now on sale here: bit.ly/morcGALA
Photo credit above: "Anna Stoehr lied about their age to join Facebook… because she was too old." (Picture: Mayo Clinic / YouTube).
TODAY: Lukewarm sun. Clock out early. Winds: N 5-10. High: 66
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and cool. Low: 40
THURSDAY: Pinch me. I must be dreaming. Warm sun - feels like early September. High: 69
FRIDAY: Windy & cooler. Showers up north. Wake-up: 52. High: 57
SATURDAY: Plenty of cool sunshine. Wake-up: 40. High: 53
SUNDAY: Some sun, isolated shower. Wake-up: 34. High: 56
MONDAY: Mild sunshine, beautiful. Wake-up: 35. High: 61
TUESDAY: Indian Summer. The Sequel. Wake-up: 38. High: 65
Oceans Experiencing Largest Sea Rise in 6,000 Years, Study Says. Here's a story excerpt from The Washington Post: "...Over the last several thousands of years, has the ocean risen and fallen and risen again? A new study, just published in PNAS, suggests that the ocean has been surprisingly static since 4,000 B.C.. But that changed 150 years ago. Reconstructing 35,000 years of sea fluctuations, the study, which researchers say is the most comprehensive of its kind, found that the oceans are experiencing greater sea rise than at any time over the last 6,000 years. “What we see in the tide gauges, we don’t see in the past record, so there’s something going on today that’s wasn’t going on before,” lead author Kurt Lambeck, a professor at Australian National University, told the Australia Broadcasting Corporation..."
* the paper referenced above is here, courtesy of PNAS, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
"....Uncertainty is no excuse for delaying action. "While scientists are converging toward consensus on future climate projections, uncertainty remains. But this cannot be an excuse for delaying action," Hagel said. "Every day our military deals with global uncertainty. Our planners know that, as military strategist Carl von Clausewitz wrote, "all action must, to a certain extent, be planned in a mere twilight." It is in this context, he said, that he is releasing DoD's Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap today...."