Winter Is Over
Uh oh, Paul is making outrageous statements again. Has he been standing too close to the Doppler? Honest answer: yes!
Let me clarify.
We'll see more cold fronts & spits of snow and ice, but in 10-14 days the overall pattern will shift rather dramatically, the meteorological equivalent of turning on a light switch, pushing persistent 40s back into Minnesota the second week of March. In 2 weeks it'll be warm enough aloft for rain.
Snow lovers, please don't blame me, blame a (drunken) jet stream for this supernaturally persistent dry pattern. As was the case last winter, with numerous examples in the last 15 years, the jet stream got "stuck".
Normal variability gave way to a persistent upper level rut, one that steered a conga-line of sputtering, unimpressive clippers over Minnesota, faint wisps of low pressure that went on to metastasize into a Nor'easter machine as they interacted with Atlantic moisture, dumping 100 inches on Boston. Interesting things happen when the weather stalls - usually bad things.
A couple inches of snow may fall next Tuesday, the bulk of the storm staying south once again. 20s will feel tolerable this weekend; two more subzero nights the middle of next week before a Pacific breeze kicks in.
A hint of spring fever in 2 weeks? Yep.
* 500 mb forecast valid the evening of March 13 courtesy of GrADS:COLA/IGES.
Graphic credit above: " .
Photo credit above: "A sign advertising a home for sale peaks from a mound of snow, Monday, Feb. 23, 2015, in Marlborough, Mass. Real estate agents have found that purchase closings are being held up because of the heavy snowfall in the Boston area." (AP Photo/Bill Sikes).
Image credit above: "Tesla home battery, which is currently produced for SolarCity's home energy storage system." (House Photo: Shutterstock)
TODAY: Sunny start, clouds increase. Winds: S 10-15. High: 22
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low: 12
SUNDAY: More clouds than sun, a dry sky. High: 27
MONDAY: Partly sunny, stiff breeze. Wake-up: 11. High: 29
TUESDAY: Wet snow develops, couple inches of slush? Wake-up: 19. High: near 30
WEDNESDAY: Sunny and sharply colder. Feels like -20F. Wake-up: 1. High: 9
THURSDAY: Cold start, breezy and milder late. Wake-up: -6. High: 20
FRIDAY: Some sun, a drippy thaw! Wake-up: 15. High: near 40
* An abstract of the new research is available at Science Magazine.
* Reuters has more on the latest research here.
Photo credit: Vladimir Pushkarev/Russian Centre of Arctic Exploration/Reuters.
* Senator Inhofe's snowball even has its own Twitter page.