45 F. average high on March 24.
31 F. high on March 24, 2014.
30.8" snow so far this winter season at KMSP.
62.7" snow fell last winter, as of March 24, 2014.
As of Tuesday there hasn't been a single March tornado reported anywhere in the USA. You have to go back to 1969 to find a comparable month. El Nino appears to be strengthening; this pervasive warm phase of the Pacific Ocean forecast to linger most of 2015. Every El Nino event is different, but most favor a southerly detour of the jet stream, a shift that diminishes the threat of tornadoes and hurricanes. That southward shift in steering winds may pinch off much of our moisture; I'm worried about an intensifying drought.
ECMWF guidance shows a potentially significant rain event brewing for the middle of next week, possibly ending as wet snow on April 1 or April 2. A potentially foul April Fool's joke. Out ahead of this rare "storm" temperatures surge to near 60F Monday and Tuesday. That partially makes up for any late-season goosebumps tomorrow & Friday, when a fresh sweep of Canadian air keeps highs in the 30s.
And last night's minor slush event? My favorite banker at Northern Trust, Jeff Huybrecht, wrote: "The great thing about a March snow is that it's usually beautiful (wet snow that sticks to trees), melts quickly from roads and driveways, and provides needed moisture. What's not to like?"
TODAY: Coating of slush early? Windy with more clouds than sun. Winds: W 15-30. High: 42
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, turning colder. Low: 21
THURSDAY: More clouds than sun, chilly for late March. High: 38
FRIDAY: Who turned off the heat? Brisk. Feels like late February, but the sun is out. Wake-up: 22. High: 35
SATURDAY: Breezy, turning milder with fading sun. Wake-up: 23. High: 44
SUNDAY: Mild, springy start. Late shower? Wake-up: 35. High: 54
MONDAY: Plenty of sun, pleasant. Wake-up: 33. High: 57
TUESDAY: Mild sun, first clap of thunder? Wake-up: 40. High: 62
* Heavier, steadier rain is possible next Wednesday as temperatures begin to fall.
Image credit above: " Edgar Su/Reuters.
* The paper at Nature Climate Change is here.