51 F. average high on April 3.
40 F. high on April 3, 2014.
+2.7 F. March temperatures in the Twin Cities were nearly 3F. warmer than average.
April 3 in Minnesota Weather History. Source: Twin Cities National Weather Service:
1999: Ice storm hits Duluth and the Arrowhead. An 800 foot television tower in Duluth collapsed due to the weight of the ice.
1982: A sharp cold front causes the temperature at Lamberton in Redwood County to drop from 78 to 7 degrees. This 71 degree change in 24 hours is the maximum 24-hour temperature change in Minnesota.
1837: Snowstorm rages for four days at Ft. Snelling and dumps 9 inches
Early April is an awkward time, suspended between winter and spring. The snow and ice is gone, a foot of frost in the ground and shrinking.
Until we green up the risk of fire will be significant; 92 percent of the state in moderate drought is creating a high threat of fire - extreme over central Minnesota. Wednesday's quarter inch of rain was just enough to settle the dust. We need another 2-5 inches to pull out of a deepening drought.If anyone asks (highly doubtful) Wednesday's 84-degree record high was the warmest temperature ever recorded so early in the year in the Twin Cities.
Friday I talked about models printing out plowable snow early next week, an outburst triggered by a combustible mixture of caffeine, sleep deprivation and Chipotle. My meteorology professors would be horrified. "Never mention inch-amounts until 24 hours before a snow event!" Ever. Although the atmosphere will be cold enough for snow the brunt of the moisture passes south (again) with only a small chance of a slush Monday night.
Light rain showers brush the state Tuesday, again late next week, but not the soaking we need. Models show 60s & 70s returning by mid-April.
Yes, we earn our springs.
Snowfall Potential. 12 KM NAM model guidance from NOAA shows a potential for a little slush by Monday night and Tuesday morning, a couple inches possible near Williston, ND and Green Bay. Temperatures should be cold enough for wet snow or a mix by Monday evening, but moisture will be limited. Graphic: HAMweather.
Fleeting Relapse. Temperatures will be close to average today and Sunday before dipping to early Marchlike levels Monday and Tuesday; struggling to reach 40F in the metro area. The mercury rebounds later next week; 70 degrees a week from Sunday? Graphic: Weatherspark.
Record-Setting April Fools' Day. Hail, precious moisture, wild lightning displays and blowing dirt. Dr. Mark Seeley takes a look at a wild April 1 in the latest edition of Minnesota WeatherTalk; here's an excerpt: "...The weather system that crossed the state on April 1st also brought some hail, rain, and lightning to some areas. Hail was reported in some counties like Sibley and Stearns. Thunderstorms brought a quarter to half inch of rainfall to some central and southern Minnesota observers. Some of the larger amounts included: 0.68 inches at Rochester, 0.66 inches at Grand Meadow, 0.60 inches at Northfield, 0.81 inches at Austin, 0.80 inches at Albert Lea, and 0.62 inches at Mantorville. The moisture did little to relieve the dryness on a statewide basis as the U.S. Drought Monitor placed nearly 92 percent of the state landscape in the moderate drought category this week..."
Photo credit above: " .
- There were 42 extreme weather events that each caused at least $1 billion in damage.
- These extreme weather events caused 1,286 fatalities and $227 billion in economic losses across 44 states..."
- March monthly precipitation totals were below historical averages across Minnesota. Monthly precipitation totals ranged from one-half inch to one and one-half inches below the long-term average.
- The U. S. Drought Monitor indicates that Moderate Drought conditions exist over 91% of Minnesota's landscape. The lack of snow during the 2014-2015 winter, combined with the dry early-spring weather, has led to precipitation deficits of three to five inches below average across the state since October 1st.
- Many lakes in the southern one-half of Minnesota are now free of ice. Lake ice-out dates for these lakes were one to two weeks earlier than the historical median.
- The potential for wildfires is currently rated by DNR Forestry as Very High to Extreme across most of Minnesota. Historically, 80 percent of all wildfires in Minnesota occur during April and May.
* At least 37% of the USA is in moderate drought or worse as of March 31. Click here for an animated time line showing the intensification of drought since December.
Photo credit above: "Water sprinklers are used at Heartwell Park in Long Beach, Calif., on Thursday, April 2, 2015. California Gov. Jerry Brown on Wednesday, ordered a 25 percent overall cutback in water use by cities and towns, but not farms, in the most sweeping drought measures ever undertaken by the nation's most populous state." (AP Photo/Nick Ut)
Photo credit above: "Richard Branson in Mojave, California, in 2010. Behind him, SpaceShipTwo hangs from the twin-fuselage mother ship, WhiteKnightTwo." Photograph by Jonas Fredwall Karlsson.
TODAY: Clouds increase, milder breeze. Winds: SW 8. High: 55
SATURDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, chilly. Low: 37
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, temperatures close to average. High: 54
MONDAY: Rain may mix with snow at night. Wake-up: 34. High: 41
TUESDAY: A few light rain showers. Wake-up: 38. High: 43
WEDNESDAY: More clouds than sun, a drier day. Wake-up: 33. High: 53
THURSDAY: Mostly gray, rain stays south. Wake-up: 40. High: 56
FRIDAY: Unsettled, showers likely far south. Wake-up: 38. High: 54
* The Risky Business Report focused on California is here.
Photo credit above: "Boats are docked at San Pablo Reservoir Recreation Area in El Sobrante, Calif., Thursday, April 2, 2015. A spokeswoman for the East Bay Municipal Utility District said that the reservoir is about half full. California Gov. Jerry Brown ordered officials Wednesday, April 1, 2015 to impose statewide mandatory water restrictions for the first time in history as surveyors found the lowest snow level in the Sierra Nevada snowpack in 65 years of record-keeping." (AP Photo/Eric Risberg).
* When it’s warmer, the evaporation of water speeds up, allowing the ground to heat up faster, which then evaporates more water in a vicious cycle which continues until meaningful rain stops it.
* When it’s warmer, the snow season shortens. In other words, snow starts falling later in the fall and stops falling earlier in the spring, and snowpack declines..."
File photo above: NOAA.
Graphic credit above: "NASA temperature data dispel the myth of a recent slow-down in long-term warming trend. But there was a big jump in temps during the mid-1990s. Many scientists believe another jump is “imminent.’"
Image credit above: "Long-term trends in yearly surface temperatures across Antarctica from 1981-2007." Credit: NASA
File photo: USGS.