51 F. average high on April 2.
43 F. high on April 2, 2014.
April 2, 2001: Jumbo-sized snowflakes in east central Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. 2.5 to 2.75 inch flakes measured in Maplewood.
April 2, 1920: The temperature fell to 8 degrees in Pipestone. The high the day before was 74. Source: Twin Cities National Weather Service.
"April prepares her green traffic light and the world thinks Go" wrote Christopher Morley. Not so fast. My lawn is blinking green/go but the weather maps are flashing yellow/uh oh.
I get nervous when it gets too warm, too early. Wednesday's 84F record high was a shock to the system, in fact it may have been the warmest temperature ever recorded so early in the season in the Twin Cities. That, and the gale-force 50 mile an hour gusts and assorted brush fires, all topped off by a wild lightning display and a welcome dousing of rain. Just enough to settle the dust.
The transition to spring is always a sordid affair; this forecast should come with a warning label. If it isn't river flooding it's tornadoes or knee-deep piles of slush. The ECMWF (European) model prints out 7-8 inches of snow next week close to the MSP metro. The GFS thinks it'll hit Brainerd. I'm not sure, and frankly I'd like to be excused.
It's still too early to panic (or celebrate) but Monday may be a fascinating day, with rain mixing with or changing to snow. With the same sun angle as early September even if it does snow roads should be wet/slushy, at least during daylight hours.
Deep breaths. We warm up late next week; 50s & 60s returning by mid-April as the jet stream lifts north, sweeping mild air across the Plains.
No, spring in Minnesota is not for the faint of heart.
* Historical and average ice-out data for Minnesota's major lakes is here. More ice-out data is on the Minnesota DNR's Facebook page.
- March monthly precipitation totals were below historical averages across Minnesota. Monthly precipitation totals ranged from one-half inch to one and one-half inches below the long-term average.
- The U. S. Drought Monitor indicates that Moderate Drought conditions exist over 91% of Minnesota's landscape. The lack of snow during the 2014-2015 winter, combined with the dry early-spring weather, has led to precipitation deficits of three to five inches below average across the state since October 1st.
- Many lakes in the southern one-half of Minnesota are now free of ice. Lake ice-out dates for these lakes were one to two weeks earlier than the historical median.
- The potential for wildfires is currently rated by DNR Forestry as Very High to Extreme across most of Minnesota. Historically, 80 percent of all wildfires in Minnesota occur during April and May.
Photo credit above: "Richard Branson in Mojave, California, in 2010. Behind him, SpaceShipTwo hangs from the twin-fuselage mother ship, WhiteKnightTwo." Photograph by Jonas Fredwall Karlsson.
TODAY: Partly sunny, cool breeze. Winds: NW 15+ High: 45
FRIDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds, chilly. Low: 33
SATURDAY: Clouds increase, late showers north. High: 54
SUNDAY: Early showers, gray and cool. Wake-up: 40. High: near 50
MONDAY: Rain/snow mix. Slushy accumulation? Wake-up: 34. High: 40
TUESDAY: Cold rain far southern MN. Wake-up: 33. High: 46
WEDNESDAY: Unsettled, more rain possible. Wake-up: 36. High: 45
THURSDAY: Partly sunny, average again. Wake-up: 32. High: 50
Image credit above: "Long-term trends in yearly surface temperatures across Antarctica from 1981-2007." Credit: NASA
File photo: USGS.
Some fear that because the US government refuses to contemplate a treaty similar to the Kyoto Protocol, with internationally binding targets, it could easily pull out.
But Stern – lead climate negotiator since 2009 – argued it would not be easy to take apart two presidential terms of work.
- See more at: http://www.rtcc.org/2015/04/01/us-climate-plans-will-survive-republican-attacks-say-officials/#sthash.3zVAWMkF.dpuf
Photo credit above: "Irrigation water runs along a dried-up ditch between rice farms in Richvale, California." Photograph: Jae C. Hong/AP.