June 15, 1892: An estimated F5 tornado struck just north of the MN/IA border, killing 9. Large house timbers were found embedded in the ground three miles away from their foundations.
In Search of "Perfect"
"Have no fear of perfection - you'll never reach it" said Salvador Dali. Where is the perfect place to visit or retire, a 21st century Garden of Eden with no weather drama? Good luck finding it.
California comes close, but it's running out of water - in the midst of historic drought. Arizona is sunny, but to paraphrase Sam Kinnison "You're living in a DESERT!" Florida? Too many storms with names. Hawaii comes very close, in spite of island fever and high prices. Seattle? Perfect, for drizzle-lovers.
It's probably human nature to want what you can't have. I like the changing of the seasons and traditions that come with a vibrant climate. Never a dull moment here.
Minnesota's weather can be maddening, but be glad you're not stranded in Texas, for many reasons. A tropical storm sweeping in off the Gulf of Mexico may drop some 10 inch rainfall amounts from Houston and Dallas to Tulsa; severe flooding possible hundreds of miles inland.
Comfortable sun fades by afternoon, half an inch or more of rain here on Wednesday. A swarm of T-storms returns Friday and Saturday; a few may turn severe. ECMWF guidance prints out 2.3 inches of rain by June 25.
Mostly-warm and partly-soggy. Yep, almost perfect.
* photo credit above: Pete Kreshitour.
* As expected, the tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico has strengthened into Tropical Storm Bill, with sustained winds of 50 mph.
* The main threat is still excessive rainfall capable of more historic to catastrophic flooding across Texas and Oklahoma Tuesday and Wednesday, but severe flooding will extend many hundreds of miles inland, days after landfall.
* Latest model guidance suggests eventual flooding impacts may be greatest inland, closer to San Antonio and Austin.
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 94.2W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baffin Bay to High Island Texas
RAINFALL: Bill is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma and 2 to 4 inches over western Louisiana and western Arkansas, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches in eastern Texas. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Upper Texas coast...2 to 4 feet Western Louisiana coast...1 to 2 feet
- Assemble an emergency kit that includes essential documents, supplies and provisions; plan how all family members and pets will respond in case of evacuation.
- Consider any special needs for individuals with disabilities or the elderly.
- When severe storms threaten, the safest place to be is indoors. If you are outdoors, seek shelter in a home or large building.
- Avoid areas already flooded and avoid any fast-flowing water; keep in mind that flood dangers are even harder to recognize at night.
- Be extremely cautious of any water on roads or in creeks, streams, storm drains or other areas – never attempt to cross flowing streams or drive across flooded roadways – and always observe road barricades placed for your protection.
- Remember that dangerous waters can seem deceptively calm, and if you encounter flooding, move to higher ground.
- Monitor weather radios and news broadcasts for updated information on current and anticipated severe weather.
- Always heed warnings and instructions provided by local officials and emergency management personnel.
Paul Douglas, AerisWeather Senior Meteorologist
Image credit above: "Sound investment: the history of the record industry is a tale of technology, stars and shady deals." Photo Montage by Dan Murrell.
WEDNESDAY: Cool with showers likely, locally heavy rain possible. High: near 70
THURSDAY: Plenty of sun, very pleasant. Wake-up: 60. High: 78
FRIDAY: T-storms likely, a few may be severe. Wake-up: 62. High: 81
SATURDAY: Still unsettled - showers and T-storms, sticky. Wake-up: 64. High: 80
SUNDAY: Unsettled, a few PM showers. Wake-up: 61. High: 75
MONDAY: Warm sunshine, late night thunder? Wake-up: 59. High: 78
* the research abstract referenced above is here.