June 14, 1956: 8 inches of rain fell in the Ivanhoe area in 3 and a half hours. 100 thousand dollars in damage to crops.
June 14, 1943: Torrential downpours cause flooding in the Twin Cities and east central Minnesota. 2.5 inches of rain fell in St. Paul in two hours. In addition, four streetcars were hit by lightning.
This is my favorite time of year, just before the dog days, wilting humidity and kamikaze-mosquitoes. I have a lot more energy in June, which may have something to do with 15 hours and 35 minutes of daylight.
Almost 2 hours more than Miami. A far cry from December 21, when a reluctant sun sneaks above the horizon for a meager 8 hours and 46 minutes.
Staring at the morning weather map I am struck by 2 things: a real summer (defined as an extended streak of 80s and 90s with gasp-worthy humidity levels) is nowhere to be found, looking out through the first week of July. A series of cool fronts dribbling out of Canada keep any sauna-like heat and humidity well south of Minnesota for at least 2, maybe 3 weeks. These transfusions of almost September-like air set up persistent frontal zones capable of frequent showers and T-storms. I see a wet, cooler-than-average bias through the 4th of July.
The other gob-smacking trend: flood-plagued Texas and Oklahoma are about to get a visit from "Bill". As of Sunday evening NOAA NHC had raised the risk of cyclone formation to 70 percent. A plume of tropical moisture arrives by Tuesday with some 5-10 inch rains and more extreme flooding.
* Growing risk of tropical storm formation in the Gulf of Mexico, with heavy rain and flash flooding (and river flooding) impacting Texas and Oklahoma the first half of this week.
* National Hurricane Center: 60% probability of Tropical Storm Bill within 48 hours.
* Inland flooding potential from southern Plains into Corn Belt later this week - impacts possible as far away as St. Louis and Indianapolis.
Summary: It's that time of year again. A high sun angle has heated up the Gulf of Mexico, and in spite of El Nino (which tends to hamper tropical development by creating consistently stronger winds high above the tropics) it appears that conditions favor tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico. Factoring in recent (extreme) rains across much of Texas and Oklahoma we are sending out this briefing, raising the very real scenario of more extensive flooding as (Bill) comes ashore sometime Tuesday or Wednesday. Areas that were flooded a few weeks ago may flood again, with rainfall amounts reaching 5-10" in some areas along and east of the tropical track. We'll keep you posted.
Paul Douglas. Senior Meteorologist, AerisWeather
Hurricane Forecasters Struggle To Make Sense of Social Media. There is so much clutter, noise and nonsense on Twitter, FB, Instagram, Snapchat - people commenting on comments. Which is all good fun until a deadly storm is approaching. And then who are you going to believe, a spokesman for The National Hurricane Center, or some (idiot) second-guessing the official track of the storm? It's a free country, you can say what you want, believe what you want. Even if it gets you killed. Here's an excerpt of an interesting article at PalmBeachPost.com: "Social media is an effective way to keep tabs on Katy Perry or stalk your ex, but how does it fare when a life-threatening emergency arises? Hurricane forecasters don’t seem keen on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram as emergency-management tools, the Post’s Eliot Kleinberg reports from the National Hurricane Conference. They fret about the dilution of the old media model of news delivered straight from the experts’ mouths to your eyes and ears..." (Hurricane Irene image: NASA).
TUESDAY: Comfortable with fading sun. T-showers may arrive Tuesday night. High: 74
WEDNESDAY: Showers and T-storms likely. Wake-up: 59. High: 71
THURSDAY: A risk of sunshine. Soak it up. Wake-up: 61. High: near 80
FRIDAY: A few strong T-storms? Dew point: 62. Wake-up: 63. High: 81
SATURDAY: Heavy showers and T-storms. Wake-up: 66. High: 82
SUNDAY: Morning sun, PM T-showers. Wake-up: 64. High: 77