83 F. average high on July 29.
81 F. high temperature on July 29, 2014.
July 30, 1971: Cool spell across Minnesota with frost in north and freezing temperatures reported as far south as Pipestone.
Boredom is a rare and fleeting experience for Minnesota meteorologists. Most days I'm being swatted on the head and kicked in the butt by Mother Nature, so I'm just fine with a stretch of boringly beautiful weather.
Especially since we've picked up 7.32 inches of rain in July; 7th wettest on record. On average we experience 6 days a year with an inch or more of rain in the metro. So far we've picked up 3 days over an inch, all of them in July. St. Cloud has seen 9 separate days of 1-inch-plus rains since mid-May! No drought concerns this year.
And there's growing evidence we're heading into a "Super El Nino"; a dramatic warming of Pacific Ocean water forecast to spill over into spring of 2016. Dr. Jeff Masters at Weather Underground predicts it may be one of the 3 biggest El Nino's in the last 60 years, rivaling 1972, 1982 and 1997.
Who cares? Strong El Nino events often result in milder, drier winters for Minnesota. Place your bets.
What's not to like about this week: 80s, a comfortable dew point in the 50s, little chance of thunder until late Sunday, when the next cool front dribbles out of Canada. The worst of the jungle-like heat and T-storms stays south of Minnesota.
"The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center offers an excellent overview of derechos and derecho climatology here. In their section on derechos and climate change they reinforce Paul's comment about a poleward shift in the corridors of maximum derecho frequency." - Greg Spoden, State Climatologist
Frame grab credit above: "
Image credit above: "Sea surface temperatures for the week ending July 22 were more than 1°C above average from the eastern tropical Pacific northward through much of the northeast Pacific, with pockets of 2 - 4°C above average evident near the equator. Image credit: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information."
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On Four Continents, Historic Drought Wreaks Havoc. USA TODAY reports; here's the intro: "California's historic drought appears to be matched by severe dry spells on three other continents. Brazil, North Korea and South Africa are bearing the brunt of much lower-than-average precipitation, wreaking havoc on millions of peoples' lives and livelihoods. While the causes vary from country to country, the chance of more intense droughts in the future as a result of man-made climate change is only increasing as regional extremes of precipitation — both more and less — remain likely, according to the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change..."
Photo credit above: "Gino Celli, who relies on senior water rights to water his crops, inspects a wheat field nearing harvest on his farm near Stockton, Calif., on May 18, 2015." (Photo: Rich Pedroncelli, AP).
Photo credit above: "During an observation workshop held in June, participants observe moss growing beside a trail in the Kita-Yatsugatake mountain range in Nagano Prefecture." | KYODO.
Image credit above: "Buffalo Snow Pile Refuses to Melt Eight Months After Snowstorm." (ABC News)
TODAY: Spectacularly sunny with a refreshing breeze. Dew point: 56. Winds: NW 15+ High: 85
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear, still very comfortable. Low: 63
FRIDAY: Sunny, low humidity. Very nice. High: 83
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, mostly-dry. W 10. Wake-up: 65. High: 84
SUNDAY: Hazy sun, few T-storms late. Wake-up: 67. High: 85
MONDAY: Plenty of sun, cooler & less humid. Wake-up: 63. High: 80
TUESDAY: Blue sky, light winds. Wake-up: 65. High: 82
WEDNESDAY: Few showers and T-storms. Wake-up: 63. High: near 80
Photo credit above: "Thick smoke and flames from an airstrike by the U.S.-led coalition rise in Kobani, Syria, as seen from a hilltop on the outskirts of Suruc, at the Turkey-Syria border, Monday, Oct. 20, 2014." Image: Lefteris Pitarakis/Associated Press.
The full report from the Defense Department is at defense.gov. See also: Global warming helped trigger Syria's civil war.
Image credit above: "Florida as seen from the Space Shuttle in 1998. Flooding from climate change is threatening much of the coastline, including major cities in Florida." (Credit: NASA)
* The paper from geosociety.org is here.
Photo credit above: "Ticks can spread infectious diseases such as Lyme disease and and Rocky Mountain spotted fever." Photograph: Rasmus Holmboe Dahl/Alamy.
Image credit above: "Arctic sea ice age distribution map in spring 2012 vs 2015." Source: University of Colorado.
Preferred climate question
Accepting as a given the overwhelming scientific agreement that humans are changing the climate of the planet, what policies or strategies, if any, would you support to address this issue?
Weasel-word climate question #1
Do you understand that there is overwhelming scientific agreement that humans are changing the climate? If not, why not?..."
File photo above: "This is a file photograph near Keystone, Colo., on Wednesday, Oct. 1, 2008, that shows the damage done to a pine tree by pine beetles behind an aspen tree in fall foilage. Trees in old growth forests across the West are dying at a small, but increasing rate that scientists conclude is probably caused by longer and hotter summers from a changing climate." (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, file)
For sixty years, tide gauges have shown that sea level in the Chesapeake is rising at twice the global average rate and faster than elsewhere on the East Coast.
Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2015-07-washington-dc-fast-adding-threat.html#jCp
Graphic credit above: "Temperature change over past 11,300 years (in blue, via Science, 2013) plus projected warming this century on humanity’s current emissions path (in red, via recent literature)."
Photo credit above: Washington Post photo by Marc Lester.