51 F. average high on October 31.
40 F. high on October 31, 2014.
.33" rain fell at MSP International Airport yesterday.
November 1, 2000: An F1 tornado touched down on a farm east of Prinsburg in Kandiyohi County destroying a small storage shed. It also tipped another shed on its side, and ripped off a portion of the roof of a third shed.
November 1, 1999: High winds were reported in central Minnesota. The St. Cloud State University Meteorology Department in Stearns county recorded a 65 mph gust. Morris AWOS in Stevens county, posted a 62 mph gust and Willmar AWOS in Kandiyohi county recorded a 59 mph gust. Area wide sustained winds of 40 mph occurred, with gusts in the 45 to 50 mph range.
November 1, 1991: Classes were canceled across the state due to the Halloween Blizzard. Three foot drifts across I-94 from the Twin Cities to St. Cloud.
Streak of 60s, 70F Midweek?
"November always seemed to me the Norway of the year" wrote Emily Dickinson. Perhaps Denmark or northern Germany would be a better metaphor this year.
El Nino-warmed winds from the Pacific are slowing our free-fall into winter, like the smoking brakes of an 18-wheeler truck creeping downhill. There's little doubt November will bring heavy jackets, the first accumulating snow of the winter season and mostly-frozen ground by Thanskgiving. If Canada were to run out of cold fronts the implications for the planet would be stark.
But November 2015 will launch on a positively balmy note, feeling more like late September. Models almost unanimously boost high temperatures into the 60s from today into Wednesday, in fact I'm predicting a few 70s by midweek - in some cases 20 to 30F warmer than average - an "average" that continues to warm over time.
Expect plenty of sun the next 4 days; light jackets in the morning, shirt-sleeves by early afternoon. A cooler front sparks showers on Thursday with highs stuck in the 40s next weekend.
No blistering arctic attacks brewing just yet.
Image credit: UW-CIMSS.
Photo credit above: "Water pushed up by Hurricane Sandy splashes into the window of a building in Bellport, N.Y." REUTERS/Lucas Jackson.
TODAY: Partly sunny, mild breeze. Winds: S 10-15. High: 63
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 47
MONDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, very nice. High: 66
TUESDAY: Blue sky, warm winds. Wake-up: 51. High: near 70
WEDNESDAY: Is this November? September flashback with lukewarm sun. Wake-up: 57. High: 72
THURSDAY: Cooler, growing chance of showers. Wake-up: 47. High: 52
FRIDAY: Slow clearing, jacket weather returns. Wake-up: 39. High: 47
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, feels like November. Winds: E 5-10. Wake-up: 33. High: 45
Would you like to explore where your faith intersections with weather and climate change? On Saturday, November 7th at 9a in Prior Lake, Shepherd of the Lake Lutheran Church is hosting a Creation Care event that will examine the intersection of faith, climate change and weather. The event is free. Childcare is provided for those that RSVP. Presenters include faith leaders from the Lutheran, Methodist, MCC and Catholic church, Dr. John Abraham (climate scientist from the University of St. Thomas) and me. RSVP at: http://www.sollc.org/creationcare.
Graph credit above: "Exxon spokesman Ken Cohen either misunderstood or misrepresented the chart pictured above as he pushed back against an InsideClimate News investigation into what Exxon's own scientists knew about the emerging risks of climate change, and when they knew it."
Illustration credit above: Stephanie Shafer.