All or Nothing Weather Map
80F at MSP on Sunday?
For all the grief Minnesotans get about our winters we have precious little to complain about in the weather department. I've unplugged my Doppler - I'm swaying in my weather-hammock, waiting for an actual "storm" to show up on the maps.
A story at USA TODAY provides perspective on the sheer amount of rain that swamped the Carolinas earlier this week: 11 trillion gallons of water, enough to fill 636 million swimming pools, or 130,370 Rose Bowl football stadiums to the top. Roughly the same amount of water required to end the epic drought in California.
All or nothing. Weather whiplash on steroids. Where have you heard that before?
Rain slows the morning commute, but skies begin to clear later today. The stage is set for another glorious weekend: 70s Saturday; a shot at 80F on Sunday. It's like we got to enjoy two Septembers in a row. Every day of lukewarm breezes is a gift from on high - take nothing for granted.
We'll just have to be content with 60s next week; GFS guidance still hinting at a metro frost risk late next week.
El Nino warmth may take the edge off cold fronts into November.
* California drought image: AP Photo/Nick Ut,File. South Carolina flood image: Janet Blackmon Morgan/The Sun News via AP.
- 636 million swimming pools (16 x 32 feet each)
- 130,370 Rose Bowls (filled to the top)
Photo credit above: "Floodwaters close in on homes on a small piece of land on Lake Katherine in Columbia, S.C., Monday, Oct. 5, 2015." Image: Chuck Burton/Associated Press
Photo credit above: "Jeanni Adame rides in her boat as she checks on neighbors seeing if they want to evacuate in the Ashborough subdivision near Summerville, S.C., after many of their neighbors left, Monday, Oct. 5, 2015. South Carolina is still struggling with flood waters due to a slow moving storm system." (AP Photo/Mic Smith).
Photo credit above: "A statue in flood waters in the Ashborough subdivision near Summerville, S.C., Monday, Oct. 5, 2015. South Carolina is still struggling with flood waters due to a slow moving storm system." (AP Photo/Mic Smith).
What The European Model "Win" Means for Weather Forecasting. No weather model is infallible, but the ECMWF seems to - fairly consistently - do a better job with the tracks of tropical systems. Even so, as highlighted in a good article at The Washington Post's Capital Weather Gang by Jason Samenow, the GFS has had its moments: "...There have been notable recent cases in which the GFS model provided a better forecast. For example, in 2012, the GFS model offered a more accurate track forecast for Hurricane Isaac which tracked through the Gulf of Mexico. The GFS model also provided a better forecast last January when New York City city was supposed to be buried under more than two feet of snow according to the European model. In reality, only eight inches fell, closer to the GFS model forecast..."
Image credit above: "Hurricane Joaquin." (Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies at the University of Wisconsin-Madison).
File photo credit above: "In this July 20, 1969 file photo, astronaut Edwin E. "Buzz" Aldrin Jr. stands next to a U.S. flag planted on the moon during the Apollo 11 mission. Aldrin and Neil Armstrong were the first men to walk on the lunar surface. During a ceremony in Melbourne, Fla. on Thursday, Aug. 27, 2015, Aldrin announced he is teaming up with the Florida Institute of Technology to develop "a master plan" for colonizing Mars within 25 years." (Neil A. Armstrong/NASA via AP)
FRIDAY: Sunny, less wind. Winds: NW 8-13. High: 61
SATURDAY: Sunny, gusty winds. Winds: SW 15-25. Wake-up: 46. High: 71
SUNDAY: What October? Warm sunshine. Winds: SW 10-15. Wake-up: 57. High: 80
MONDAY: Cloudier, passing shower? Wake-up: 59. High: 63
TUESDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. Wake-up: 49. High: 67
WEDNESDAY: Patchy clouds. Wake-up: 52. High: 66
Photo credit above: "A stop sign in flood waters in the Ashborough subdivision near Summerville, S.C., Monday, Oct. 5, 2015. South Carolina is still struggling with flood waters due to a slow moving storm system." (AP Photo/Mic Smith)
Photo credit above: "The number of weather-related loss events has tripled since the 1980s. Inflation-adjusted insurance losses from these events have increased from an annual average of about $10 billion then to about $50 billion over the past decade." Photo: Mark Nolan
Map credit above: "