52 F. average high on October 28.
49 F. high on October 28, 2014.
.26" rain fell at MSP International Airport yesterday as of 7 PM.
October 29, 2004: Exceptionally muggy for October. Dew points surged into the middle to upper 60's over central and southern Minnesota. Ladybugs are extremely active.
October 29, 1955: Early snow with 2.2 inches in the Twin Cities.
October 29, 1905: Snowfall accumulated in south central Minnesota. Snow totals included 7 inches at Fairmont, 6 inches at Farmington, 4.5 inches at Montevideo, 4 inches at Faribault, and 3 inches at New London.
Slowly Improving Weather
Halloween 2015 Preview
This year I'm dressing up as El Nino for Halloween. Chances are I won't get much candy, just dental floss and tooth brushes. Oh well. Which reminds me of a Los Angeles resident, Al Nino, who got threatening phone calls during the last big El Nino event in 1998.
No, you can't fix stupid.
No Halloween Superstorm this year. In 1991 a total of 28.4 inches of snow fell over 3 days, shattering a long list of records. My Saab Turbo couldn't get out of the driveway; KARE-11 had to send their Chief Engineer in a Suburban to shuttle me to the station. Great memories. MSP picked up 47 inches of snow in November of 1991; a total of 84.1 inches for the winter.
Sometimes early snowstorms and arctic fronts set the tone for the winter to come. Not every winter, but many. El Nino may take some sting out of the coldest cold fronts this year.
Skies clear later today as winds ease. A stray shower can't be ruled out for Halloween but highs reach the upper 50s, well above the average high of 51F.
Expect sunny 60s Sunday & Monday; a shot at 70F Tuesday before the inevitable temperature tumble.
Thanks to the late, great Chris Farley for participating in today's weather column. He was the original El Nino, and his skit on Saturday Night Live was legendary. The video clip is here, courtesy of NBC. We miss you, Chris.
10-Day Snowfall Potential. NOAA's GFS model shows a little slush potential north and east of MSP this morning; another surge oof snow across the Rockies and Intermountain West next week. Source: AerisWeather.
Calming Down - Lukewarm Start to November. European guidance shows a raw day today, but winds slowly ease after lunch. Showers are possible Friday night with an isolated instability shower possible on Halloween. Sunday looks better (I still think we may nudge 60F). 60s are likely next Monday and Tuesday, when the mercury may hit 70F if the sun stays out. Source: Weatherspark.
Mid-November: Modified Zonal Flow. We'll see cold pushes of air looking out 2 weeks, but no polar punches are brewing. Not yet. Winds aloft are forecast to blow predominately from the west, from British Columbia, which should deflect the coldest air north of Minnesota. Source: GrADS:COLA/IGES.
Graphic credit above: "November tornado touchdowns in the U.S. in November (1950-2013)." Credit: United States Tornadoe
Photo credit above: "King tides are natural events that happen twice a year. By 2060 to 2070 we could be experiencing tides of at least this magnitude every month, rather than just twice a year due to climate-change induced sea level rise. Pictured above, the erosive effects of a king tide on the Gold Coast, Queensland." Bruce Miller/CSIRO, CC BY 3.0
Photo credit above: "Power plant in New York City." Credit: m01229/flickr
Image credit: Failblog.org.
TODAY: Damp start, slow PM clearing as winds begin to ease a little. Winds: NW 15-25. High: 48
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing, chilly. Low: 37
FRIDAY: Some sun. Showers possible at night. Winds: S 10-15. High: 53
HALLOWEEN: Sunny peeks, isolated PM shower? Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 43. High: 57
SUNDAY: Partly sunny and milder. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 43. High: 62
MONDAY: Lukewarm November day. Wake-up: 49. High: 67
TUESDAY: Last day for shorts? Wow. Warm sun. Wake-up: 55. High: 71
WEDNESDAY: Blue sky, turning cooler. Wake-up: 50. High: 57 (falling)
* Photo credit above: Michiko Smith.
On Saturday, November 7th at 9a in Prior Lake, MN Shepherd of the Lake Lutheran Church is hosting a Creation Care event that will examine the intersection of faith, climate change and weather. Presenters include myself, Dr. John Abraham (climate scientist from the University of St. Thomas) and faith leaders from the Lutheran, Methodist, MCC and Catholic church. RSVP at: http://www.sollc.org/creationcare.
Photo credit above: Flickr/ Glenn Euloth.
Photo credit above: "Long Island farmer Hank Kraszewski Jr., surveying extensive damage to his field of Superior early variety potatoes in Southampton, N.Y., where plants were killed by continued high temperatures and lack of rain. A new study has found that GDP and agricultural productivity fall when average temperatures rise above 13°C." Photograph: Kathy Willens/Associated Press.
“ExxonMobil, the world’s largest and most powerful oil company, knew everything there was to know about climate change by the mid-1980s, and then spent the next few decades systematically funding climate denial and lying about the state of the science.”But nobody has spent more time and energy researching and exposing Exxon's climate denial campaign than Kert Davies, the creator of ExxonSecrets while he served as research director of Greenpeace USA. Davies, who now runs the Climate Investigations Center and continues to expose climate denial and attacks on solutions to global warming, worked with many researchers over the years (including DeSmog's Brendan DeMelle and Kevin Grandia) to assemble a clear record of Exxon's extensive funding of organizations and think tanks responsible for spreading doubt and denial about climate science..."
U.S. Agency Refuses Request for Climate Records. Is the political process hijacking sound science? Are scientists "cooking the books" to further a specific policy agenda? The agency in question here is NOAA. A valid conspiracy theory (oxymoron) or a witchhunt (with all due apologies to witches)? Here's a link from Nature News & Comments "...The analysis, published in Science in June1, analyzed NOAA's temperature records and found that global warming has continued apace in the early twenty-first century. The study contradicts previous findings — often cited by global-warming sceptics — suggesting that warming has slowed since the 1990s. Representative Lamar Smith, the Texas Republican who leads the House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, asked NOAA in July for the data used in the study and for any internal communications related to it. NOAA has provided the committee with the publicly available data and has briefed committee staff on the research, but the agency has not turned over the communications. Although NOAA’s latest response to the committee skirted the issue, the agency suggests in a 27 October statement to Nature that it has no intention of handing over documents that reveal its internal deliberations..." (Image credit above: NOAA News).