52 F. average high on October 29.
43 F. high on October 29, 2014.
.01" of rain fell at MSP International Airport Thursday.
October 30, 1951: A early snow storm dropped as much as 8 inches of snowfall in north central Minnesota. Mora had 8 inches, while Long Prairie received 6 inches. Glenwood, Little Falls, Morris, and New London all had 5 inches of new snow. Meanwhile, surrounding areas received a couple of inches.
October 30, 1936: Gale dust storm causes damage in Central Minnesota. Heavy wind damage is reported in Stearns County.
Mostly Mellow, No Weather Drama In Sight (Yet)
"Sometimes I wish that I was the weather, you'd bring me up in conversation forever. And when it rained, I'd be the talk of the day" sang John Mayer. I'm feeling a little better about my low self- esteem issues.
Plan on talking about the Gophers, Donald Trump, traffic headaches, Halloween candy hangovers, 56 days until Christmas, etc. - because there will be precious little to complain about in the weather department.
My semi-educated hunch: El Nino will result in a very active, wet and stormy winter from California across much of the south and then right up the east coast. Many of the biggest, wildest storms may sail to our south - a milder, westerly breeze from the Pacific keeping Minnesota a bit milder and drier than average.
There will be stormy exceptions, but odds favor this won't be a harsh pioneer-winter. Famous last words.
50s return today; models hinting at showers tonight with a few instability showers during the PM hours Saturday - but no steady, soaking rains for Trick-or-Treating. 60s return next week, maybe 70F on Wednesday.
A soft, lukewarm start to November.
California Officials Outline Preparations for El Nino Flooding. Reuters has an update on the potential for more serious weather-whiplash, in this case going from historic drought to flood as the symptoms of El Nino become more apparent. Here's an excerpt: "As California braces for torrential downpours this winter from El Nino, authorities have stockpiled extra sandbags across the state while putting hundreds of personnel through flood-control training, officials told state lawmakers on Wednesday. Water engineers and emergency managers addressed a state Senate hearing in Los Angeles on preparations for the El Nino phenomenon, a recurring climate pattern that warms parts of the Pacific and is expected to bring severe weather to California and other regions. The latest El Nino, with forecasts of powerful winter storms and drenching rains, is seen as a mixed blessing for California, which is struggling through the fourth year of a record drought..."
File photo credit from February 2, 1998 in Ventura, California: AP Photo/Nick Ut.
Photo credit above: "Residents walk on a road littered with debris after Super Typhoon Haiyan battered Tacloban city in central Philippines November 10, 2013." REUTERS/Erik De Castro.
NASA's TIMED Satellite Identifies Unexpected Carbon Dioxide Trends. Here's an excerpt from Gizmag: "NASA has analyzed 14 years worth of data collected by its Thermosphere, Inonosphere, Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) satellite, revealing a surprisingly fast increase in carbon dioxide levels in the upper atmosphere. The stats also reveal that the gas is more localized to the Northern Hemisphere than predicted by climate models. Human activities like deforestation and burning fossil fuels are pumping huge amounts of carbon dioxide into the Earth's atmosphere. The gas is responsible for raising temperatures close to Earth's surface, but it has a very different effect in the upper atmosphere, reducing air density and actually having a cooling effect..."
Image credit above: "Data from NASA's TIMED mission is forcing us to reassess our knowledge of the relationship between the Earth's lower and upper atmosphere." (Credit: NASA).
Image credit: Failblog.org.
TODAY: Some sunshine, feeling better out there. Winds: S 10-15. High: 53
FRIDAY NIGHT: A few showers likely. Low: 43
HALLOWEEN: Early sun, late PM shower risk. Winds: S 8-13. High: 57
SUNDAY: Partly sunny, drier day of the weekend. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: 44. High: near 60
MONDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, still mild. Wake-up: 45. High: 63
TUESDAY: Lukewarm with intervals of sunshine. Wake-up: 49. High: 66
WEDNESDAY: More September than November. Mild sunshine. Wake-up: 51. High: near 70
THURSDAY: Some sunshine, turning cooler. Wake-up: 46. High: 53
Image credit above: Shutterstock/Barnaby Chamber.
On Saturday, November 7th at 9a in Prior Lake, MN Shepherd of the Lake Lutheran Church is hosting a Creation Care event that will examine the intersection of faith, climate change and weather. Presenters include myself, Dr. John Abraham (climate scientist from the University of St. Thomas) and faith leaders from the Lutheran, Methodist, MCC and Catholic church. RSVP at: http://www.sollc.org/creationcare.
“ExxonMobil, the world’s largest and most powerful oil company, knew everything there was to know about climate change by the mid-1980s, and then spent the next few decades systematically funding climate denial and lying about the state of the science.”But nobody has spent more time and energy researching and exposing Exxon's climate denial campaign than Kert Davies, the creator of ExxonSecrets while he served as research director of Greenpeace USA. Davies, who now runs the Climate Investigations Center and continues to expose climate denial and attacks on solutions to global warming, worked with many researchers over the years (including DeSmog's Brendan DeMelle and Kevin Grandia) to assemble a clear record of Exxon's extensive funding of organizations and think tanks responsible for spreading doubt and denial about climate science..."
U.S. Agency Refuses Request for Climate Records. Is the political process hijacking sound science? Are scientists "cooking the books" to further a specific policy agenda? The agency in question here is NOAA. A valid conspiracy theory (oxymoron) or a witchhunt (with all due apologies to witches)? Here's a link from Nature News & Comments "...The analysis, published in Science in June1, analyzed NOAA's temperature records and found that global warming has continued apace in the early twenty-first century. The study contradicts previous findings — often cited by global-warming sceptics — suggesting that warming has slowed since the 1990s. Representative Lamar Smith, the Texas Republican who leads the House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, asked NOAA in July for the data used in the study and for any internal communications related to it. NOAA has provided the committee with the publicly available data and has briefed committee staff on the research, but the agency has not turned over the communications. Although NOAA’s latest response to the committee skirted the issue, the agency suggests in a 27 October statement to Nature that it has no intention of handing over documents that reveal its internal deliberations..." (Image credit above: NOAA News).
* Did NOAA or NASA cook the books? Ross Myers takes a look at why new datasets, and including 2013 and 2014 into the equation, shows continued steady warming of the atmosphere and oceans.