Stumbling Into Spring - Chilly Fishing Opener
A bad day of fishing is better than a good day of work. This upcoming Saturday I'm torn between fishing and pumpkin-carving, maybe tossing the football. Minnesota's Fishing Opener is May 14, but I have a sneaking suspicion it will look and feel more like October 14.
We're paying a price for 92 degrees last Friday; the weather pendulum now swinging in the opposite direction. In fact it may be marginally cold enough aloft for a light mix of rain and wet snow up north early Saturday morning. No accumulation expected, but sunrise wind chills may dip into the 20s from the Whitefish Chain to Leech Lake. Pack a jacket or sweatshirt and hope for the best.
No need to water the lawn this week. Another band of heavy showers arrives today; a clap of thunder is possible; the atmosphere too cool and stable for anything severe. We dry out Thursday but a reinforcing swipe of Canadian air surges south by late week. A light frost is possible for greater Minnesota next weekend, but models hint at 70s the weekend of May 21-22.
One big silver lining: cool air keeps the tornadoes away.
60-Day Rainfall Estimates: NOAA.
- Several rounds of heavy precipitation impacted parts of Texas during April causing widespread flooding. Houston was hit particularly hard on April 18 when 9.92 inches of rain was observed at the George Bush Intercontinental Airport; even higher amounts were observed to the northwest of the city. This was the second highest one-day precipitation total for the city, bested only by the 10.34 inches that was observed during Tropical Storm Alison in 1989. As a whole, Texas had its ninth wettest April with nearly 180 percent of average rainfall..."
Photo credit above: "Potter County, Texas, firefighter Matt Dryden stands next to a wall of accumulated hail north of Amarillo, Texas after an April 11, 2012 storm." (Amarillo/Potter/Randall Office of Emergency Management).
Photo credit: "This photo posted by Buffalo Township, Minnesota shows trees cleared for a planned solar project."
The 4th Largest Economy in the World Just Generated 90% of the Power It Needs from Renewables. Here's a clip from ThinkProgress: "On Sunday, for a brief, shining moment, renewable power output in Germany reached 90 percent of the country’s total electricity demand. That’s a big deal. On May 8th, at 11 a.m. local time, the total output of German solar, wind, hydropower, and biomass reached 55 gigawatts (GW), just short of the 58 GW consumed by every light bulb, washing machine, water heater and personal computer humming away on Sunday morning. See the graph below, courtesy Agora Energiewende, a German clean energy think tank..." (Photo credit: Shutterstock).
THURSDAY: Rare sunshine sighting possible. Winds: NW 10-20. High: 64
FRIDAY: Cooler breeze, pop-up PM shower? Winds: NW 15-25. Wake-up: 47. High: 56
FISHING OPENER SATURDAY: AM sun, PM showers - chilly. Winds: NW 15-25. Wake-up: 38. High: 55
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, no sign of spring yet. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 40. High: 54
MONDAY: Partly sunny, feeling better. Winds: SW 5-10. Wake-up: 41. High: 61
TUESDAY: Clouds increase, late shower possible. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 45. High: 64
Global Warming and the Great Lakes. Here's an excerpt of an interview at Yale Climate Connections: "...Under this particular climate scenario that we’ve experienced over the past 200 years, we can manage the water levels fairly well. But if it goes into either very high flows or very low flows, we won’t be able to manage it at all.” For example, with too much water in the system it will be impossible to release enough to prevent flooding. And with too little, there will not be enough for shipping..." (Photo credit: NASA).
8 Governors Have Chance to Protect Great Lakes Water. The Chicago Sun Times reports.
Photo credit above: " Credit Mike Scott/Waikato Times, via Fairfax Media NZ.
Visualization credit: "Monthly global temperatures from 1850-2016." Credit: Ed Hawkins.
Inland Flooding Threat to Increase by 2050. WXShift has the analysis - here's an excerpt of a recent story: "...The recent flooding in the Gulf Coast states highlights the increasing threats from heavy precipitation with climate change. Our States at Risk report examined the intensity and duration of the heaviest runoff events for each state. To determine the future inland flood threat, the report examined the frequency of high water runoff that could lead to flooding threats both currently and in the future. In this week's analysis, we examine both the state and national projected trends for heavy runoff. Our Flooding Severity Index is used to quantify the runoff. This index is the average yearly sum of the daily total runoff which exceeds the 95th percentile of a 1990-2010 baseline. Using this index incorporates both intensity and duration of the runoff in each state (a full methodology can be found in the States at Risk report)..."
Photo credit above: " Emily Michot.