68 F. average high on May 11.
55 F. high on May 11, 2015.
.14" rain fell Wednesday at MSP.
.19" rain predicted on Friday in the Twin Cities (00z NAM model).
May 12, 1922: A strong cold front moves through western Minnesota, replacing shorts with sweaters at Morris. The temperature dropped from 91 to 26 on this date.
Frost and Flurries Up North for Fishing Opener?
"The fishing was good; it was the catching that was bad" wrote A.K. Best. Story of my life.
Saturday's weather for the 2016 Minnesota Fishing Opener will be an acquired taste - a chilling breeze capable of separating the men from the boys.
At least Minnesota's lakes aren't ice-covered this year. That was the case for northern Minnesota as recently as 2013 and 2014. Minnesota climate data shows that two thirds of opening days have been dry; a coating of flurries last observed over far northern lakes as recently as 2000 and 2009.
I'm happy to report heat exhaustion and sunburn won't be major issues this year: sprinkles and flurries are possible up north Saturday morning; temperatures in the 30s with an early chill factor in the 20s. Parkas optional, but a couple extra layers will come in handy.
Daytime highs this weekend reach the 40s north; 50s southern lakes. No heavy widespread rain (or snow) but it may look more like October than May out there.
Spring stages a comeback next week with highs in the 60s; GFS models hinting at 80s the last week of May.
That would be nice.
60-Day Rainfall Estimates: NOAA.
Rains Hamper Planting: Southwest Minnesota, Northwest Iowa Lag Behind Their State. Following up on Kevin's comments above, here's the intro to a story at The Worthington Daily Globe: "Area farmers grew accustomed to praying for timely rains during the past several years. Now, they’re praying for sunshine and some wind to dry up the fields so they can get their crops planted. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service released its weekly crop progress report Monday afternoon, and it noted that 89 percent of the state’s corn crop and 46 percent of its soybean crop was planted. That’s not the case, however, in the southwest corner of the state, where ponds are still visible in some fields and the week’s weather forecast calls for chances of rain nearly every day..."
Photo credit above: "A rural Rushmore farmer plants corn Sunday on ground, dry enough to work up and plant between rains." Tim Middagh/Daily Globe.
The Growing Stress on the World's Water. Here's the intro to an Op-Ed from the Editorial Board at The Washington Post: "THE WORLD Bank has warned countries that one of climate change’s most significant impacts will be on a precious resource that many people, particularly in advanced nations, take for granted: water. The concerns go far beyond sea-level rise, which is perhaps the most predictable result of the planet’s increasing temperature, or an uptick in extreme weather. Countries must worry about whether their people will have enough fresh water to farm, produce electricity, bathe and drink. Global warming will not change the amount of water in the world, but it will affect water’s distribution across countries, making some much worse off..."
Photo credit above: "
Photo credit above: "
The 4th Largest Economy in the World Just Generated 90% of the Power It Needs from Renewables. Here's a clip from ThinkProgress: "On Sunday, for a brief, shining moment, renewable power output in Germany reached 90 percent of the country’s total electricity demand. That’s a big deal. On May 8th, at 11 a.m. local time, the total output of German solar, wind, hydropower, and biomass reached 55 gigawatts (GW), just short of the 58 GW consumed by every light bulb, washing machine, water heater and personal computer humming away on Sunday morning. See the graph below, courtesy Agora Energiewende, a German clean energy think tank..." (Photo credit: Shutterstock).
TODAY: Partly sunny, breezy - almost pleasant. Winds: W 10-20. High: 64
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 46
FRIDAY: Blustery, passing showers likely. Winds: NW 15-25. High: 56
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy and brisk for Minnesota Fishing Opener. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 36. High: 51
SUNDAY: Light frost greater MN. More sun, less wind. Better. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 36. High: near 60
MONDAY: Fading sun, showers arrive late. Winds: S 7-12. Wake-up: 42. High: 63
TUESDAY: Showery rains - nothing severe. Winds: NE 10-15. Wake-up: 47. High: 61
WEDNESDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. Winds: NE 7-12. Wake-up: 49. High: 63
New Era of "Superfires" as Climate Change Triggers Hotter, Drier Weather. Are we loading the dice in favor of more Fort McMurrays? Here's an excerpt from CNBC: "...Meanwhile, climate change has already led to U.S. fire seasons that are now on average 78 days longer than in 1970, according to a report on the rising cost of wildfire operations from the U.S. government last year. The six worst fire seasons since 1960 have all occurred since 2000, according to the U.S. report. Since 2000, many Western states have experienced the largest wildfires in their state's history. And literally adding fuel to the fire, more development has been taking place near U.S. forests over the years..."
Photo credit: Mark Blinch | Reuters. "Smoke and flames from the wildfires erupt behind cars on the highway near Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada, May 7, 2016."
Talking About Wildfires and Climate Change Isn't Playing Politics. Huffington Post reports.
How Technology Is Fighting Climate Change. Here's the intro to a story at Triple Pundit: "The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, European Environment Agency, Japan Meteorological Agency, and the scientific community at large all agree: Climate change is real and predominately the result of human activities. Of course, the silver lining to this dark cloud is that if climate change is the result of human activity, then there exists the possibility of a human solution. Here are some ways that technology may help us fight climate change..."
Global Warming and the Great Lakes. Here's an excerpt of an interview at Yale Climate Connections: "...Under this particular climate scenario that we’ve experienced over the past 200 years, we can manage the water levels fairly well. But if it goes into either very high flows or very low flows, we won’t be able to manage it at all.” For example, with too much water in the system it will be impossible to release enough to prevent flooding. And with too little, there will not be enough for shipping..." (Photo credit: NASA).
8 Governors Have Chance to Protect Great Lakes Water. The Chicago Sun Times reports.
Photo credit above: " Credit Mike Scott/Waikato Times, via Fairfax Media NZ.