Public Information Statement National Weather Service Duluth MN 421 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 ...Damage surveys will be conducted Monday across Northeast Minnesota... The National Weather Service in Duluth MN will be conducting damage surveys on Monday to ascertain the extent of damage caused by severe thunderstorms on Sunday evening. We plan to survey three separate corridors: 1) From southern Cass County...eastward across Crow Wing county into Aitkin County. 2) Along and north of state highway 200 from Hill City... to between Swan River and Jacobson... to near Meadowlands. 3) From near Pengilly and Silica... eastward to Zim and Whiteface Reservoir. We will do our best to provide more detailed information on the locations and magnitude of damage...and preliminary EF scale ratings for tornadoes by the evening news. However...the areas to survey are rather expansive...and preliminary reports indicate that in some areas...sorting out tornado versus non-tornadic wind damage could be somewhat complicated...and we greatly appreciate patience from our Media and Emergency Management partners during this process. $$ MILLER/G2
- The last time Phoenix hit 120 or higher was back on July 28, 1995 when the thermometer hit 121.
- Whether the temperature touches 120 or not, record highs are likely. The current record high each day between Saturday and Tuesday is 115.
- The all-time record in Tucson history is 117 set back on June 26, 1990.
- Record highs over the weekend and into next week are 113 Saturday, 112 Sunday, 110 Monday and 112 Tuesday.
- The warmest high ever in Las Vegas history is 117 reached three times in their history. The most recent occurrence was back on June 30, 2013.
- Our forecast has Las Vegas reaching 114 both Monday and Tuesday next week.
- Record highs this weekend into next week are 115 Saturday, 114 Sunday, 113 Monday and 111 Tuesday.
- We could even see highs in downtown Los Angeles break the triple-digit mark next Monday. Down toward LAX, highs Monday will be near 90, which could break the record for the day of 86.
All of the water vapor in the atmosphere served as fuel for thunderstorms, which became widespread across the state over June 11-14. Over those 4 days many areas received from 2-4 inches of rain. A few highly localized amounts were even greater causing some short-lived flooding concerns. You can read more about the distribution of these storms at the Minnesota StateClimatology Office web site.
As a result of the rainy week, many climate stations are already reporting total monthly rainfall that exceeds the June normal. This continues a recent climate trend for June, as 15 of the most recent Junes have been normal or wetter than normal on a statewide basis.
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas
Average Low: 61F (Record: 41F set in 1992)
*Daylight gained since Winter Solstice (December 22nd): ~6hours and 51mins
0.8 Days After Full (Strawberry) Moon
...SUMMARY... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN INTO OHIO AND INDIANA AND WESTWARD THROUGH ILLINOIS TO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND PERHAPS NORTHEAST KANSAS. MEANWHILE...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FURTHER EAST ACROSS PARTS OF PA TO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK REGION SHOULD BE DURING THIS EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING MAINLY HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF NEBRASKA TO SOUTHERN IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. ...SYNOPSIS... A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENTERING THE BASE OF A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH /CENTERED OVER HUDSON BAY CANADA/ THIS FORECAST PERIOD WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND ONTARIO THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AND THEN PROGRESS THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING TO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING /21/12Z/. A BAND OF STRONG CYCLONIC MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS STRONG WIND FIELD WILL THEN SPREAD INTO NORTH PORTIONS OF IL/IN AND THROUGH THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND PA INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT...ATTENDANT TO THE GREAT LAKES UPPER TROUGH...WILL ADVANCE TO THE EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND SHOULD EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO TO FAR NORTHWEST OH AND NORTHERN IND TO NORTHERN MO BY 21/00Z. THIS FRONT WILL PERSIST EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT...REACHING WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF PA/OH/IND/IL BY 12Z TUESDAY. THE WESTERN PORTION OF THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL IN VICINITY OF THE NEB/KS BORDER INTO NORTHERN MO.
...SUMMARY... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY EASTWARD TO THE DELMARVA ON TUESDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT FROM FAR EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS IN ALL AREAS. ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER LOW WILL BE CENTERED OVER WRN QUEBEC WITH A BROAD AREA OF STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT SPREADING SWD ACROSS THE NERN QUARTER OF THE USA. IN BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE SWRN U.S. UPPER HIGH WILL BE A STRONG JET MAX WHICH WILL NOSE INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY DURING THE DAY WITH COOLING ALOFT INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AS WELL. TO THE W...A PROGRESSIVE AND COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS MT LATE IN THE DAY...REACHING THE NRN PLAINS WED MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WILL STALL SWWD INTO THE OH VALLEY...AND RETURN NWD AS A WARM FRONT OVER THE MD MS/MO VALLEYS. WIDESPREAD 60S F DEWPOINTS AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL DESTABILIZE A LARGE AREA...WITH SEVERE STORMS FOCUSED NEAR THE FRONT. FARTHER NW INTO MT AND ND...A SFC LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM ERN MT INTO THE DAKOTAS...IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR NIGHTTIME STORMS.
...SUMMARY... SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND...A FEW TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT ON WEDNESDAY. ...SYNOPSIS... A BROAD BELT OF STRONG NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NRN STATES...WITH MAIN LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NERN STATES AND UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SRN PLAINS. WITHIN THIS NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL BE MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WHICH ARE LIKELY TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SEWD TOWARD THE OH VALLEY. A SFC LOW WILL MOVE FROM NEBRASKA WED MORNING INTO IA BY 00Z...WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND TOWARD SRN LAKE MICHIGAN. AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS...WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS POSSIBLY SUPPORTING A CORRIDOR OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS...THE CENTROID OF WHICH MAY SHIFT IN LATER OUTLOOKS AS PREDICTABILITY CHANGES. ...UPPER MS VALLEY SEWD TOWARD THE OH VALLEY... MODELS SHOW A COMPLEX OF STORMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH HAIL AND WIND...ONGOING NEAR THE WARM FRONT ROUGHLY FROM IA INTO SRN WI AND NRN IL WED MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION. COINCIDENT WITH THESE STORMS IS ALSO A SMALL MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX/JETLET. AS SUCH...THIS POTENTIAL SYSTEM COULD PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE...WITH MUCAPE TO AROUND 3000 J/KG LIKELY...WITH ANOTHER SPEED MAX ALOFT POSSIBLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NW FLOW. RENEWED DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR THE SFC LOW OVER IA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY TRACK ALONG ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLY CONVECTION. THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT AS WELL AS IMPRESSIVE 850 MB JET...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG MEAN WIND SPEEDS...ALL POINT TOWARD A POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE ENHANCED RISK AREA. INITIALLY...SUPERCELLS MAY BE PRESENT PRIOR TO STORM MERGERS...WITH TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL.
...DISCUSSION... ON THU/D4...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY AN ONGOING MCS...MAY EXIST ACROSS OH OR WV THU MORNING...WITH EXACT LOCATION DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF STORMS ON THE PREVIOUS DAY. DESPITE UNCERTAINTY...STRONG WLY FLOW WILL BRING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS INTO THE REGION AND TO THE ATLANTIC COAST BY MIDDAY. STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH A SFC LOW AND COOLING ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF ANY ONGOING ACTIVITY...AND POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT ESPECIALLY ON SWRN FRINGE WHERE ACCESS TO A MORE PRISTINE AIR MASS IS MOST LIKELY. STRONG MEAN WIND FIELDS AND FAVORABLE LIFT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING WINDS. WILL INTRODUCE A BROAD 15% SLIGHT RISK AREA NOW THAT MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SFC LOW TRACK. ON FRI/D5...ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN ROCKIES...WITH UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING EWD TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY. MAINLY NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY COINCIDENT WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A BETTER SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST INTO SAT/D6 ACROSS PARTS OF THE MO/UPPER MS VALLEY REGION AS THE LOW AND COLD FRONT MATURE...AND A LESSER SEVERE THREAT THE NEXT DAY INTO THE OH VALLEY AREA. HOWEVER...PREDICTABILITY IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THIS SYSTEM.
"Standing near Greenland's Jakobshavn glacier, the reputed source of the iceberg that sank the Titanic over a century ago, U.S Secretary of State John Kerry saw evidence of another looming catastrophe. Giant icebergs broken off from the glacier seemed to groan as they drifted behind him, signaling eventual rising oceans that scientists warn will submerge islands and populated coastal region. Briefed by researchers aboard a Royal Danish Navy patrol ship, Kerry appeared stunned by how fast the ice sheets are melting. He was struck by the more dire warnings he heard about the same process underway in more remote Antarctica."
Read more from Rueters.com HERE:
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry waves as he arrives in Greenland with Danish Foreign Minister Kristian Jensen for a tour of the Illulissat Icefjord and Jakobshavn Glacier, June 17, 2016, in Kangerlussuaq, Greenland.
__________________________________________"Bringing back the bayou: NASA helps Louisiana wetlands avoid bleak future"
"Louisiana’s coastal wetland habitats are imperiled by several natural and anthropogenic phenomena, including the extreme effects of climate change. They’re home to 40 percent of the nation’s wetlands and account for 80 percent of the annual wetland loss, prompting scientists to project they’ll completely disappear in the next 200 years. “It’s a really big deal right now because Louisiana is losing so much land,” according to Mark Barker, communications fellow for NASA’s DEVELOP Program, part of the agency’s Applied Sciences Program. The program takes a multidisciplinary research approach to bridge the gap between science and society."
Read more from NASA HERE:
Louisiana's Wax Lake Delta in flux
Satellite views of Louisiana's growing Wax Lake Delta from November 7, 1984, to October 25, 2014. Also see this image pair and visit the 'Images of Change' gallery for more views of your changing planet.