75 F. average high on September 8.
78 F. high on September 8, 2015.
September 9, 1979: 1 3/4 inch hail falls in Douglas County.
September 9, 1917: Very chilly air moves into Minnesota, with a low of 17 degrees at Roseau.
Getting Married? Consider a September Wedding
The joys of being a public figure. Last October my oldest son, Walt, got married up at Grandview Lodge on Gull Lake. The sun came out for the ceremony - 50 degrees. I felt relieved, blessed. After the wedding a woman approached me in the parking lot. "Paul, I couldn't help but notice your son had a PERFECT day for his wedding. The day before my daughter got married outside - and it POURED! How does that make you feel?" I was at a rare loss for words.
"Lucky?" I sputtered. No, Mother Nature doesn't owe me any favors either.
June brides, listen up. Do yourself a big favor and consider getting hitched in September. On average it's drier, less humid, but temperatures are still lukewarm, arguably the best month of the entire year for outdoor plans.
The approach of a cooler front sets off a stray shower or T-shower today. Saturday will be brisk with a stiff northwest wind and temperatures holding in the 60s. Sunday should be a better lake day with warm sun and a shot at 80 degrees. A string of 50s & 60s arrive next week.
Yes, this is my favorite month. Lakes are mostly-empty; still warm enough for a dip as leaves ripen overhead. What's not to like?
La Nina Watch Cancelled - Conditions Favor ENSO-Neutral Conditions This Winter. Which may take the edge off some of the coldest, most harrowing winter weather predictions for the USA. Here's an excerpt from NOAA CPC: "...Atmospheric anomalies over the tropical Pacific Ocean largely indicated ENSO-Neutral conditions. The traditional Southern Oscillation index and the equatorial Southern Oscillation Index were weakly positive during August. The lower-level winds were near average, while the upper-level winds were anomalously westerly in a small region to the east of the International Date Line. Convection was suppressed over the western and central tropical Pacific, although less suppressed compared to last month. Overall, the combined ocean and atmosphere system contines to reflect ENSO- Neutral..."
* Andrew Freedman has more on the implications of ENSO-neutral vs. La Nina at Mashable.
Map credit: Climate Reanalyzer.
* Check out a very long list of record high temperatures across Europe at coolwx.com.
Hype, Bust or Effective? Messaging Hermine In A Post-Hurricane Sandy Era. Dr. Marshall Shepherd has an interesting post mortem on Hermine at Fortune: "...Did we learn anything from Sandy for Hermine? Gary Szatkowski told me in a message,
Overall, I thought the Hermine messaging was good for a very difficult situation, The track forecast was a technical challenge and the timing of the storm affecting the holiday weekend was a social science challenge. I think the track forecast was as good as the state of the science allows.In social and traditional media there was the urge to compare the storm to Sandy. And in many ways there were some similarities. However these storms were also very different. Though certainly a threat Hermine was no Sandy..." (Image credit: Aeris Maps Platform).
Image credit: "Toxic algae bloom in Lake Erie, 2011 Credit: Jesse Allen and Robert Simmon, NASA Earth Observatory via WIkimedia Commons." Public domain.
The Oceans Are Heating Up. That's a Big Problem on a Blue Planet. Here's an excerpt of an Op-Ed from Bill McKibbon at The Guardian: "...The International Union for the Conservation of Nature has published an extensive study concluding that the runaway heating of the oceans is “the greatest hidden challenge of our generation”. When we think about global warming, we usually fixate on the air temperature. Which is spiking sharply – July was the hottest month ever measured on our planet. But as the new study points out, 90% of the extra heat that our greenhouse gases trap is actually absorbed by the oceans. That means that the upper few meters of the sea have been steadily warming more than a tenth of a degree celsius per decade, a figure that’s accelerating. When you think of the volume of water that represents, and then try to imagine the energy necessary to raise its temperature, you get an idea of the blowtorch that our civilization has become..." (File image: NASA).
One Wild Cloud. "Hello Paul, last Tuesday morning I at first thought this was a fire. It was one weird cloud. I drove around the corner to get another picture. It had dissipated. Any help with this strange Thing. Thank you, Mac." Thanks Mac - great shot of "scud". I realize it looks like a smoke plume or even a funnel, but it's caused by localized downdrafts in the vicinity of showers lifting a layer of saturated air, creating a column of condensation. Appreciate the photo!
TODAY: Some sun, stray T-shower. Winds: W 5-10. High: 77
FRIDAY NIGHT: Showers taper, cooler breeze kicks in. Low: 55
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, cool breeze. Winds: NW 10-15. High: 69
SUNDAY: Sunnier and milder. Better lake day. Winds: S 15-25. Wake-up: 54. High: near 80
MONDAY: Still balmy, PM T-shower risk. Winds: W 10-15. Wake-up: 62. High: 79
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, cooler, passing shower or sprinkle. Winds: N 10-15. Wake-up: 58. High: 67
WEDNESDAY: Sunny, comfortably cool. Winds: W 5-10. Wake-up: 50. High: 68
THURSDAY: Partly sunny and milder. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: 51. High: 71
Image credit: MDI Digital. "A speculative rendering showing what a hundred-year storm could briefly do to the Meatpacking District decades from now, when sea levels have risen several feet."
Image credit: "Sea ice concentration as viewed by satellite, showing broken ice to greater than 87 degrees North latitude." University of Bremen.
Graphic credit: "Satellite data confirms global warming." Credit: University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH).
Photo credit: " " Credit Max Becherer for The New York Times.
Photo credit: SPL. "