Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Brief Interruption in Persistent Sunshine Wednesday

First Sunrise of November 2016
The first sunrise of November 2016 was quite stunning on Tuesday. A few high clouds made for a nice background. Don't forget that we 'Fall Back' 1 hour this weekend, which means our sunrise will be one hour earlier and our sunset will be one hour later by next week.

A Dreary Monday Followed by a Beautiful Tuesday
Look a the dramatic change in our sky cover from near sunset Monday to Tuesday. While Monday was breezy, cool and a bit on the damp side, Tuesday was nearly the complete opposite!
 
Mostly Quiet Weather Outlook
Here's the weather outlook from Wednesday to Sunday, which shows mostly quiet conditions for an extended day period. There may, however, be a few light rain showers or sprinkles across far southern Minnesota on Wednesday, but most will stay dry. The next best chance of light rain doesn't appear to be until late Sunday/early next week.

 

Warm Temps Continue

The temperature loop in the lower to middle part of the atmosphere shows mostly mild temperatures continuing across the Upper Midwest from Wednesday to Sunday. Note that only a brief blob of cooler air drifts through the Great Lakes Region. Much of the region will remain warmer than average over the next several days.

 
1991 Halloween Blizzard Day 3 Coverage:
WOW - this is great! Here's day 3 coverage of the great 1991 Halloween Blizzard. Glad someone has a record of this stuff!
"Day three of the infamous 1991 Halloween Blizzard. Coverage continues with KSTP and WCCO reporting on snow removal, power outages, and other humor and tragedy that comes with any Minnesota snow storm. Credit: David Olson"
See the full video from TCMediaNow HERE:
Recounts from the Memorable Blizzard
Here’s a wonderful mix tape from KFAI’s MinneCulture, which includes interviews from staff members that worked during the blizzard as well as other stories from the massive storm.
“How can you forget the one Halloween in your life that came with two feet of snow? KFAI’s Britt Aamodt was studying biology at Gustavus Adolphus College when a record snowstorm blasted its way into her life. She wasn’t alone in experiencing the legendary Halloween Blizzard of 1991, a storm that closed schools, shuttered stores and workplaces and left an indelible memory on those that experienced it. (Photo byPeter Boulay)”
LISTEN HERE:
 
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Weather and the World Series?

HA! Here's an interesting tweet from @philklotzbach - he found that there were 439 hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin since the Chicago Cubs' last won a World Series game at Wrigley Field! WOW! What stretch... The graphic below shows the paths of all 439 hurricanes!

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Brief Interruption in Persistent Sunshine Wednesday
The yin and yang of a crummy fall day and a beautiful fall day can be pretty dramatic. Take this week for example. It was a cool, breezy and drizzly Halloween, but was followed by a gem Tuesday. I am certainly not complaining about the abnormally warm fall weather, but to be honest, it is a bit disturbing.
I feel like things are all out of whack. Weather maps look more like September and early October rather than November. While we may see a few dips in the temperature department, I don't see any bone-chilling or long lasting cold snaps anywhere anytime soon. In fact, According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, much of the nation will remain above average through the middle part of the month.
Wednesday features a brief interruption in a stretch of sunny weather that will resume again Thursday. There may even be skimpy shower or sprinkle across the southern part of the state later Wednesday, but most will stay dry.
Sunshine and mild temps persist for the next several days. MN deer hunters will be warm in the woods this weekend.
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Extended Weather Outlook
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Winds: NW 5. Low: 44.
WEDNESDAY: Filtered sunshine. A few light showers or sprinkles possible in southern MN. Winds: WNW 5. High: 60.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Gradual clearing. Winds: WNW 5. Low: 42.
THURSDAY: Bright sun returns, feels more like October. Winds: SSW 5-10. High: 59.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny and mild. Winds: WNW 5-10. Wake-up: 44. High: 64.
SATURDAY: Warm and quiet MN Deer Hunting Opener. Winds: SE 5. Wake-up: 45. High: 63.
SUNDAY: Clouds increase. Few PM showers. Winds: SSE 5-15. Wake-up: 45. High: 62.
MONDAY: Breezy. Passing showers possible. Winds: S 10-20. Wake-up: 46. High: 60.
TUESDAY: Cooler winds. Light rain chance. Winds: WNW 10-20. Wake-up: 44. High: 56.
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This Day in Weather History
November 2nd
1938: A tornado touches down at Nashwauk in Isanti County. Many livestock killed.
1842: A mild spell occurs at Ft. Snelling, where the temperature rises to 60 degrees.
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Average High/Low for Minneapolis
November 2nd
Average High: 49F (Record: 72F set in 1978)
Average Low: 33F (Record: 9F set in 1951)
Record Snowfall: 5.3" set in 1992
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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
November 2nd
Sunrise: 7:53am
Sunset: 5:59pm
*Daylight Lost Since Yesterday: ~2mins & 45sec
*Daylight Lost Since Summer Solstice: ~5hours and 32mins
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Moon Phase for November 1st at Midnight
2.6 Days Since New Moon
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Weather Outlook Wednesday
High temperatures on Wednesday will still by fairly mild across the even with more cloud cover. Note that several locations across the southern half of the state will warm to near 60F, while areas in the northern half of the state will warm into the 50s.

High Temperatures From Average Wednesday

High temps from average on Wednesday will still be much warmer than average with highs nearly 10F above average across much of Minnesota.

Weather Outlook Wednesday
Winds on Wednesday will be light, just like they were on Tuesday. I don't see winds really increasing until maybe this weekend or early next week.
Weather Outlook Wednesday
A frontal boundary stalled across the Central US will keep much of Wednesday's moisture should of us, but a little could get sucked up across the southern part of Minnesota. Don't be surprised if a few light rain showers or sprinkles move in later Wednesday.

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Simulated Radar

The simulated radar from Tuesday to Friday shows mostly dry conditions across much of the state with the exception of a little light rain or sprinkle threat across the southern part of the state on Wednesday. Other than that, much of the region will stay dry through the weekend.


Rainfall Potential
Here's the 5 day rainfall forecast through Saturday, which mostly dry conditions across the state with the exception of those along the international border.
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Extended Weather Outlook
Temperatures for the rest the week ahead look very mild with temps consistently in the 50s and 60s, which will be well above average. 
Warm Temperatures Return to Midwest
According to NOAA's CPC, the 6 to 10 day temperature outlook suggests warmer than average temperatures continuing  across much of the Upper Midwest as we head through the early part of November.
6 to 10 Day Temp Outlook
Here's the national temperature outlook from November 7th - 11th, which shows warmer than average conditions across much of the nation.
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National Weather Outlook
The Active weather in Western US will become more sporadic, while a batch of heavier rain in the Central US begins to shift into the Eastern US.

Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's WPC, heavy moisture will continue across the extreme northwestern part of the US, while some 1" to 2"+ amounts may be possible from New Mexico/Texas to parts of the Great Lakes and Northeast._____________________________________________________________________________
"You can watch Leonardo DiCaprio's climate change documentary right here"
In Before the Flood, Leonardo DiCaprio travels around the globe to explore the effects of global warming as well as possible solutions.
The 95-minute movie is free on a bunch of platforms from Oct. 30 through Nov. 6, including including Facebook, Hulu and, yes, YouTube (see above). 
The wide distribution on one of the most popular free video platforms in YouTube may be an attempt to bolster views ahead of the United States presidential election on Nov. 8. 
See the full video at Mashable.com HERE:

____________________________________________________________________________"Experts: Climate Change Threatens Monarch Butterfly Migration"
"The Monarch Butterfly and Pollinator Festival, which began Thursday at the Instituto Cultural de México, continued through Friday evening with a symposium on the relationship between the Monarch Butterfly migration and climate change. The festival will conclude Saturday at the Pearl with a parade, a butterfly release, and more. Katharine Hayhoe, director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University in Lubbock, joined Michoacán-based forester and researcher Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romero, citizen scientist and conservation specialist Cathy Downs, and Texas Butterfly Ranch founder Monika Maeckle onstage for the discussion. Maeckle also is founder of the Monarch Butterfly and Pollinator Festival. The panel was moderated by Dan Goodgame, Vice-President for Executive Communications at Rackspace.  Monarchs are under threat due to many different factors, primarily those created by humans. Pesticides like neonicotinoids, which are suspected as largely responsible for honeybee die-offs are also responsible for killing other insects like butterflies. Glyphosate, a compound found in Roundup, is a potent herbicide that can seriously hurt milkweed and other plants that Monarchs rely on as a food and breeding ground."
See more from Rivard Report HERE:
 
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Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

1 comment:

  1. Error in your opening Paragraph. The Sunset will also be one hour earlier! :-)

    ReplyDelete