85 F. maximum temperature in the Twin Cities Saturday.
80 F. average high on June 17.
86 F. high on June 17, 2016.
June 18, 1939: A deadly tornado hits Anoka. 9 fatalities and over 200 injuries are reported.
June 18, 1850:
Territorial Governor Ramsey reports that about halfway between Ft.
Ripley and Ft. Snelling on the Mississippi a severe hail storm occurred
in the evening. One or two hailstones picked up were as large as hen’s
eggs and he thought he saw one about the size of a 'musket ball.'
Psychology of Weather Prediction - More Free A/CMost
days it pays to be a little pessimistic, to err on the side of...less.
Exhibit A. Saturday was a smidge nicer than predicted. Sunshine lingered
longer - storms held off until later. This seems almost acceptable on a
weekend. But if the weather turns out WORSE than predicted, run for the
hills. People remember, especially on a summer weekend.
I love all of Minnesota's 14 seasons, but I'm especially fond of summer. June is energizing; today we enjoy
15 hours, 36 minutes of daylight. The sun is as high in the sky as it ever gets, heating the ground, sparking numerous instability storms.
A
wrinkle of unusually cold air aloft sparks a showers later today;
Doppler will soon be freckled with blips and blobs - mostly light
showers, a stiff wind and 60s. A touch of early October.
The
weather models bring another push of fresh, clean Canadian air into
Minnesota later this week; highs may hold in the 60s again next
Saturday. Seems like a minor correction, after one of the warmest starts
to June on record, statewide.
Sticky 80s in time for the 4th of July? Odds favor it, yes.
Break from the Muggies.
If the sun peeks out a little today we may still see 70F in the MSP
metro, but temperatures hold in the 60s most of the day. The mercury
mellows next week, but there's little doubt the core of any
blast-furnace heat stays mostly south of Minnesota in the coming weeks.
Twin Cities ECMWF numbers: WeatherBell.
Thundery East - Sizzling Southwest - Potential for "Bret"?
I'm not buying a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico, not yet, but we
need to keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico later this week. The 00z run
of NOAA's NAM model pulls a strong tropical storm toward Texas or
Louisiana by Wednesday, but confidence levels are still very low.
Showers and T-storms are likely today from the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley into New England; little rain west of the Mississippi in the days
to come. Animation: Tropicaltidbits.com.
Sunday Severe Threat.
An advancing cool front destabilizes the atmosphere from Buffalo to
Louisville, Nashville and Little Rock today, increasing the risk of
severe storms capable of large hail, damaging winds and isolated
tornadoes.
Near-Record Warmth First Half of June. Like clockwork, Dr. Mark Seeley has details at
Minnesota WeatherTalk: "
In
contrast to May, the first half of June has been unusually warm, near
record-setting in many places across Minnesota. For the Twin Cities
Metro Area the mean temperature for the first half of June has been
about 74.9 degrees F. Only 1976 was warmer, with a mean temperature of
75.1 degrees F. On a statewide basis the mean temperature for the first
half of June was 69 degrees F. Only 1933 (71.4°F) and 1988 (70.4°F) were
warmer. Within the Minnesota climate observation network 45 stations
have reported daily maximum temperature records tied or broken so far
this month, and 46 stations have also reported daily warm minimum
temperature records tied or broken so far. Many places have reported
multiple days with 90°F temperatures, as high as 97 degrees F at
Rosemount and Waseca. MSP set a new record warm minimum temperature on
June 10th with a reading of 77°F, breaking the old record of 73 degrees F
back in 1973. Milan also reported a record warm minimum on that date
with a reading of 77°F. MSP also tied a record high dew point reading on
June 13 with a reading of 74 degrees F..."
Tuesday Highs. Hotter in Phoenix than Death Valley? Good grief. Be careful out there. Map: Aeris AMP.
Record Territory.
High temperatures early next week in metro Phoenix will come within a
couple degrees of the all-time record of 122F, set on June 26, 1990.
Warming Increasing Hot Weather Records Across the USA. Here's the excerpt of an explainer from
Climate Signals: "...
The
science connecting the observed increase in heat waves to climate
change is extensive and has recently advanced even further.
Highlights:
In
a stable climate, the ratio of days that are record hot to days that
are record cold is approximately 1:1. In our warming climate, record highs have begun to outpace record lows, with the imbalance growing for the past three decades. In the last 365 days, there were 4.21 high temperature records for 1 record low in the US..."
Map credit: Aeris AMP.
Early Hurricane Season May Be Brewing Something in the Gulf of Mexico. 4 Things to Know. Meteorologist Marshall Shepherd helps us keep some sense of perspective at
Forbes: "
It
is that time of year. It is hurricane season, and nature seems to know
that as well. As a meteorology professor and scientist, I have been
watching weather models over the past several days, and some have
hinted, as far back as last week, at the possibility of "something
developing" in the Gulf of Mexico. I tend to err on the side of caution
with long-range solutions and let the information evolve. Too often,
models spin up "fantasy" storms at long range so it is important to be
cautious in what is shared. This current threat is now within a time
window that warrants a little more attention. Here are 4 things that you
need to know right now..."
Lightning Myths and Facts.
NOAA has a page with some very good reminders:
Myth: If you're caught outside during a thunderstorm, you should crouch down to reduce your risk of being struck.
Fact:
Crouching doesn't make you any safer outdoors. Run to a substantial
building or hard topped vehicle. If you are too far to run to one of
these options, you have no good alternative. You are NOT safe anywhere
outdoors. See our
safety page for tips that may slightly reduce your risk.
Myth: Lightning never strikes the same place twice.
Fact: Lightning
often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially if it's a tall,
pointy, isolated object. The Empire State Building is hit an average of
23 times a year.
Myth: If it’s not raining or there aren’t clouds overhead, you’re safe from lightning.
Fact: Lightning
often strikes more than three miles from the center of the
thunderstorm, far outside the rain or thunderstorm cloud. “Bolts from
the blue” can strike 10-15 miles from the thunderstorm.
Myth: Rubber tires on a car protect you from lightning by insulating you from the ground.
Fact: Most
cars are safe from lightning, but it is the metal roof and metal sides
that protect you, NOT the rubber tires. Remember, convertibles,
motorcycles, bicycles, open-shelled outdoor recreational vehicles and
cars with fiberglass shells offer no protection from lightning. When
lightning strikes a vehicle, it goes through the metal frame into the
ground. Don't lean on doors during a thunderstorm...
File image: NASA.
Warmer Than Average July For Most of USA? Here is the latest prediction from
NOAA CPC, the Climate Prediction Center, calling for a very warm July (with the possible exception of the Pacific Northwest).
Into the Storm: OSU Researchers Use Drones for Tornado Prediction.
Getting real-time boundary-layer observations from a new generation of
drones may help to provide the high-octane weather data required to take
tornado prediction to the next level. Here's an excerpt from
News OK: "...
Tornadoes
are spontaneous and on a much smaller scale. To predict them,
meteorologists need a precise understanding of the atmosphere between
the ground and the bottom of the storm. Typically, current weather radar
cannot detect activity happening at this level. By getting ahead of the
storm, Jacob can have a drone fly directly into the target area to
measure the pressure, temperature and humidity in this previously
unreachable space. The drone will transmit the data from the sensors to
the controller who can then analyze the data into weather models. This
data could allow tornado warnings to go from 15 minutes to in excess of
an hour while decreasing the overall false alarm rate, ultimately saving
lives..."
Photo credit: "
Research being performed at OSU hopes to improve the metrics for tornado prediction through the use of drones." Photo courtesy of Dr. Jamey Jacob.
Changes to NOAA's Watch/Warning/Advisory Protocol?
Nothing is happening yet, but there are considering streamlining and
simplifying their hazard-alerting system. Here's more from
NOAA: "...
For
decades, the NWS has used the Watch, Warning, and Advisory (WWA) system
to alert users of forecasted hazards. In many ways, the WWA system has
been highly effective in protecting life and property. With that said,
as we have collected feedback during the course of this project, we have
learned that some users find the WWA terms confusing. Also, users are
sometimes confused about how to interpret and distinguish among the
large number of individual WWA “products” (e.g., Wind Advisory, Flood
Watch, Winter Storm Warning). Based
on this initial feedback, and with support from social and behavioral
scientists, NWS is exploring alternatives for more effectively
communicating our hazard messages. The NWS is not making any changes to
the operational system at this time but we are carefully considering a
number of options, as follows:
- Keep the current WWA system as is;
- Make small to moderate changes; or
- Make a transformational change to the WWA system..."
Committee Passes First Round of Flood Insurance Bills. Here's an excerpt of a press release from
The House Committee on Financial Services: "
The House Financial Services Committee met today to
begin consideration of several measures to reform and reauthorize the
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which is set to expire on
September 30, 2017.
“We cannot continue to call on the American taxpayer to bailout a
program that is currently drowning in $25 billion of red ink and suffers
a $1.4 billion annual actuarial deficit,” said Financial Services
Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX). “These bills put the National
Flood Insurance Program on a path toward actuarial soundness where all
will be protected, no one will be denied a policy, all will benefit from
competition, the NFIP will be sustainable, and the national debt clock
will spin a little less rapidly...”
File photo of December 2015 flooding in Missouri: Associated Press.
Mystery of the Missing Noctilucent Clouds. Here's an interesting snippet from
SpaceWeather.com: "...
In
late May 2017, observers in Europe began seeing electric-blue tendrils
snaking over the western horizon at sunset. The summer season for
noctilucent clouds (NLCs) was apparently beginning. Normally, the
strange-looking clouds surge in visibility in the weeks immediately
after their first sighting. This year, however, something mysterious
happened. Instead of surging, the clouds vanished. During the first two
weeks of June 2017, Spaceweather.com received ZERO images of NLCs --
something that hasn't happened in nearly 20 years. Where did they go?
Researchers have just figured it out: There's been a "heat wave" in the
polar mesosphere, a region in Earth's upper atmosphere where NLCs form. Relatively warm temperatures have wiped out the clouds..."
Sharp Uptick in Wildfires Strains Great Plains Agencies. A story at
Climate Central caught my eye: "...
The
spreading rash of fires across the flat and grassy states west of the
Mississippi River has jolted a region unaccustomed them, even as it has
been overshadowed in the news and dwarfed in firefighting budgets by bigger wildfires tearing up the West Coast. “The low frequency tends to lull all of us into a sense of complacency,” said Michele Steinberg,
manager of wildland fire operations at the nonprofit National Fire
Protection Association. “We have a long way to go with education,
particularly for folks where they have not seen a lot of fire.” Because
wildfires have been relatively rare in the Great Plains until recently,
many states and counties have come to depend heavily on each other for
assistance when they strike. “They rely on their neighbors,” Steinberg
said. But the shared firefighting resources are becoming strained as
more fires need to be fought. “You’re seeing conditions that are just
right for not only ignition of fire, but also fire spread,” Steinberg
said..."
Photo credit: "
The Mule Ridge Wildfire in Arizona last year." Credit: U.S. Forest Service/Flickr.
ASCE Gives U.S. Infrastructure a D+. Details via
Business Insider: "
America's infrastructure is in dire need of repairs. According to the American Society of Civil Engineers' 2017 Infrastructure Report Card, which is published every four years, US infrastructure gets a D+ grade. It got the same grade in 2013. The ASCE estimates the US needs to spend some $4.5 trillion by 2025 to improve the state of the country's roads, bridges, dams, airports, schools, and more. The
report breaks down the state of infrastructure in 16 different
categories. Here's a look at each category's final grade, according to
the organization..."
Photo credit: "
An
aerial view of the damaged Oroville Dam spillway is shown. Dams in the
US are aging. In fact, the average age of of US dams is 56 years." Dale Kolke / California Department of Water Resources via Reuters.
These Solar Panels Generate Drinking Water From The Air. This is the kind of innovation we're going to need, explained by KTLA in Los Angeles: "It
turns out there is more water in the air than all the fresh water in
the planet," explains Zero Mass Water CEO Cody Friesen. Friesen says
he's installed his special form of solar panels in seven countries. The
panels are self-contained - with everything they need to generate clean
drinking water inside. Solar cells power the device, a special membrane
inside absorbs water molecules, which is then treated with minerals for a
fresh taste before being stored in on-board reservoirs. "What these
panels do is very similar to the ocean, sun, rain cycle," says Friesen..."
With Over 50 Million U.S. Subscribers, Netflix Has Finally Surpassed Cable TV. Quartz has details: "The
reign of cable television is officially over. The largest cable-TV
providers in the US now have fewer combined subscribers than the
streaming service Netflix. At the end of March 2017, cable TV had a
combined 48.6 million subscribers in the US, versus 50.9 million at
Netflix, according to data from Statista and Leichtman Research Group, which tracked major cable-TV operators including Comcast, Charter, Altice, Mediacom, and Cable ONE..."
China Makes Leap Toward "Unhackable" Quantum Network. The Wall Street Journal reports: "...
Chinese
scientists have succeeded in sending specially linked pairs of light
particles from space to Earth, an achievement experts in the field say
gives China a leg up in using quantum technology to build an
“unhackable” global communications network. The result is an important
breakthrough that establishes China as a pioneer in efforts to harness
the enigmatic properties of matter and energy at the subatomic level,
the experts said. In an experiment described in the latest issue of
Science, a team of Chinese researchers used light particles, or photons,
sent from the country’s recently launched quantum-communications satellite to establish an instantaneous connection between two ground stations more than 1,200 kilometers (744 miles) apart..."
Image credit: "
Experiments
with the Micius satellite could propel China to the forefront of
hack-proof communications. Professor Hoi Fung Chau of Hong Kong
University explains how quantum physics can be used to frustrate hackers." Photo: CCTV
Amazon Is About to Transform How You Buy Groceries. I need a quart of 1% milk delivered STAT - preferably by drone. Here's an excerpt from
WIRED.com: "...
Still, the market is just too lucrative—and too primed for disruption—for Amazon
to simply give up. “Amazon buying Whole Foods is a good fit with the
company's larger strategy for groceries,” says Jason Goldberg, vice
president of commerce at the digital marketing company Razorfish. “Fresh
groceries is the biggest category of consumer spending in retail that
hasn’t been disrupted by online yet.” A recent report from the Food
Marketing Institute and Nielsen found that the US grocery sector could
grow five-fold in the next decade, with consumers spending upward of $100 billion
by 2025. While around a quarter of US households currently shop online
for groceries—up from 20 percent just three years ago—more than 70
percent will do so within 10 years, according to the report..."
Rural America Is Stranded in the Dial-Up Age.
Which makes it hard to attract new (information-related) companies and
jobs. Is cheap satellite-delivered internet delivery the answer? Here's
an excerpt from
The Wall Street Journal: "...
In
many rural communities, where available broadband speed and capacity
barely surpass old-fashioned dial-up connections, residents sacrifice
not only their online pastimes but also chances at a better living. In a
generation, the travails of small-town America have overtaken the ills of the city,
and this technology disconnect is both a cause and a symptom. Counties
without modern internet connections can’t attract new firms, and their
isolation discourages the enterprises they have: ranchers who want to
buy and sell cattle in online auctions or farmers who could use the
internet to monitor crops. Reliance on broadband includes any business
that uses high-speed data transmission, spanning banks to insurance
firms to factories..."
Quantum Entanglement, Science's "Spookiest" Phenomenon, Achieved in Space. I don't pretend to fully understand it, but it reminds us we don't know what we don't know. Here's a clip from
The Washington Post: "
Imagine
you are a photon, a packet of light. You are a tiny blip of energy,
hurtling through the universe on your own. But you have a twin, another
photon to whom you have been intimately connected since the day you were
born. Now matter what distance separates you, be it the width of a lab
bench or the breadth of the universe, you mirror each other. Whatever
happens to your twin instantaneously affects you, and vice versa. You
are like the mouse siblings in “An American Tail”, wrenched apart by fate but feeling the same feelings and singing the same song beneath the same glowing moon. This is quantum entanglement..."
Photo credit: "
A
view of the Milky Way during the Perseid Meteor Shower. Also in space:
a satellite where scientists are producing entangled photons and beaming
them back to Earth." (Daniel Reinhardt/EPA).
The 21 Unwritten Rules of Flying You're Probably Breaking. Thrillest has a good start: "...The
secret to sloshing a billion people through terminals, security lines,
and airplanes without utter chaos breaking out? A complex, unspoken
social code nearly everyone observes. Most people simply get it. Then,
there are the nail-clipping, baby-cussing, pajama-wearing, 9/11-joke
making, full-bottle-of-water-in-the-TSA-line-carrying dumbasses. Look
around on your next flight and you’re sure to spot one, blithely
clobbering people with his backpack, unwrapping a hot fish sandwich, and
cranking his seat back to full recline the second you hit 10,000 feet.
Some transgressions are obvious. Others, ambiguous moral gray zones you
yourself have struggled with. Here, we wrote ‘em down. Now you know what
all those glares have been trying to tell you..."
Illustration credit: Daniel Fishel/Thrillist.
The Mad Opulence of Dubai, From Water Villas to Fake Forests.
I've been there - it's Disney on steroids, a cross between Las Vegas,
Miami Beach and Mars. It is not of this world. Here's an excerpt from
WIRED: "
The wealthy never run
out of ways to amuse themselves in Dubai, where you can party aboard a
house floating in a man-made sea, stroll through an indoor rainforest,
or kick back in an ice lounge where the temperature never climbs above
freezing. In a city where everyone is rich, shopping malls resemble the
Silk Road and the theme parks make Disneyland look small. Nick Hannes takes you on a whirlwind tour of the emirate's carefully engineered attractions in his ongoing series Dubai: Bread and Circuses.
“Dubai positions itself as a leading tourist and luxury lifestyle
destination,” he says. “By this enormous supply of leisure activities,
the emirate expresses the idea that everything is possible in Dubai,
that the sky is the limit...”
Photo credit: "This is
a “floating seahorse” or floating home anchored at The World, an
artificial archipelago that will eventually include 300 manmade islands
in the shape of all the continents. Many villas come with a butler, like
the one pictured here." Nick Hannes.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy, windy, few showers. Winds: NW 10-20. High: near 70
SUNDAY NIGHT: Showers taper. Low: 56
MONDAY: Refreshing, lingering clouds - slight shower risk. Winds: NW 10-15. High: 71
TUESDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, should be dry. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 57. High: 76
WEDNESDAY: More clouds, few passing showers. Winds: SE 8-13. Wake-up: 59. High: 74
THURSDAY: Sticky and warmer. Few T-storms. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 61. High: 83
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, cooler breeze. Winds: W 10-20. Wake-up: 60. High: 77
SATURDAY: Blend of clouds and blue sky, cool. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 55. High: 70
Photo credit: Wichita office of the National Weather Service.
Climate Stories...
Antarctica is Melting, and Giant Ice Cracks Are Just The Start. What can possibly go wrong. Here's an excerpt from
National Geographic: "
Seen
from above, the Pine Island Ice Shelf is a slow-motion train wreck. Its
buckled surface is scarred by thousands of large crevasses. Its edges
are shredded by rifts a quarter mile across. In 2015 and 2016 a
225-square-mile chunk of it broke off the end and drifted away on the
Amundsen Sea. The water there has warmed by more than a degree
Fahrenheit over the past few decades, and the rate at which ice is
melting and calving has quadrupled.
On the Antarctic Peninsula, the warming has been far greater—nearly
five degrees on average. That’s why a Delaware-size iceberg is poised to
break off the Larsen C Ice Shelf and why smaller ice shelves on the
peninsula have long since disintegrated entirely into the waters of the
Weddell Sea. But around the Amundsen Sea, a thousand miles to the
southwest on the Pacific coast of Antarctica, the glaciers are far
larger and the stakes far higher. They affect the entire planet..."
Photo credit: "A
startling sunset reddens the Lemaire Channel, off the west coast of the
Antarctic Peninsula. The continent’s coastal ice is crumbling as the
sea and air around it warm." Camille Seaman.
Why So Little Grassroots Action Against Climate Change? Here's an excerpt of an interview at futurity.org: "...There
are a host of factors that help to account for the relative lack of
grassroots activism on climate change, notably, 1) the relentless denial
of the reality of climate change by anti-climate change forces; 2)
increasing gridlock in Congress, making bipartisan action on any issue
difficult; 3) the lack of “ownership” of the issue by any significant
segment of the American public, in contrast to issues such as police
violence against African Americans or sexual assaults against women, or
the threat of deportation against Hispanics; and 4) the mistaken
extended “time horizon” associated with the issue, which reassures many
that the impact of climate change is still off in the nebulous future..."
Photo credit:
"TORONTO - JULY 5" via Shutterstock
How Electric Vehicles Can Help Cities Like Houston Fight Climate Change. Here's a nugget from an Op-Ed at
The Houston Chronicle: "...
Thirty cities, including New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Houston, are seeking bulk-rate deals
on electric vehicles. They’ve asked manufacturers to submit bids to
supply up to 114,000 electric vehicles, ranging from police cruisers to
trash haulers, at a total cost of roughly $10 billion.
This surge in electric vehicle sales could make them more affordable —
not just for cities but for the rest of us, too. That’s because emerging
technologies typically get cheaper as production increases. A study by
researchers from the Stockholm Environment Institute estimates that electric car batteries prices fall by 6 percent to 9 percent every time production doubles. Some analysts forecast
that as soon as 2025, electric cars will become cheaper than
gasoline-powered cars. In some cases, they are already cheaper to own
and operate over the vehicle’s lifetime, our research has shown. If cities help ramp up demand for electric cars faster than anticipated, this transition could happen even faster..."
Small Change in Average, Big Change in Extremes. There
is a strong and growing correlation between warming and more intense
precipitation events and hotter heat waves, as explained at
Climate Central: "...
To
understand what’s happening, we need to get a little geeky and take you
back to Stats class. The classic bell curve represents the distribution
of all temperatures at a location. The bulk of temperatures — those
close to average — sit near the middle of the curve. Record
temperatures, which are rare, sit on the fringes, with hot on right and
cold on the left. As the world warms from the increase in greenhouse
gases, the whole curve shifts to the warmer side, the right.
This shift results in a large jump in the number of extremely hot days
and a drop in the number of extremely cool days. It also means heat
records are more likely to be set than cold records. And it is these
extremes that impact our lives..."
A GOP Congressman Is Forging Ahead on Climate Action.
Climate Central reports: "...
But
he’s also staking his political reputation on solving an issue nearly
verboten in the Republican-controlled Congress: climate change. He’s
called President Trump’s decision to yank the U.S. from the Paris Agreement
a mistake, introduced legislation to combat climate impacts and helped
create a bipartisan caucus all aimed at dialing back the partisanship
around one of the most pressing problems not just in the U.S., but in
the world. Whether he succeeds — or survives the 2018 midterms for that
matter — is very much up in the air, but his work represents one of the
few efforts toward climate action by Republicans on the national stage.
"For me, this is a local issue,” Curbelo told Climate Central last
month. “Most of the people in my district live near sea level and near
the sea. That’s how it first caught my attention. Then I started doing
my own research, I had a very enlightening meeting with NOAA experts,
and I realized it’s one of the greatest challenges...”
Photo credit: "Carlos Curbelo speaking at the 2014 Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in National Harbor, Maryland." Credit: Gage Skidmore/flickr.
Scientists Stunned by Antarctic Rainfall and a Melt Area Bigger Than Texas. Chris Mooney reports at
The Washington Post: "
Scientists
have documented a recent, massive melt event on the surface of highly
vulnerable West Antarctica that, they fear, could be a harbinger of
future events as the planet continues to warm. In the Antarctic summer
of 2016, the surface of the Ross Ice Shelf, the largest floating ice
platform on Earth, developed a sheet of meltwater that lasted for as
long as 15 days in some places. The total area affected by melt
was 300,000 square miles, or larger than the state of Texas, the
scientists report. That’s bad news because surface melting could work
hand in hand with an already documented trend of ocean-driven melting to
compromise West Antarctica, which contains over 10 feet of potential sea level rise..."
Map credit: "
Number of days in January 2016 when surface melt was detected from passive microwave satellite observations." (Julien Nicolas).
Houston Fears Climate Change Will Cause Catastrophic Flooding. "It's Not If - It's When". The Guardian reports: "...The Texas
metropolis has more casualties and property loss from floods than any
other locality in the US, according to data stretching back to 1960 that
Brody researched with colleagues. And, he said: “Where the built
environment is a main force exacerbating the impacts of urban flooding,
Houston is number one and it’s not even close.” Near the Gulf coast,
Houston is also at annual risk from hurricanes: it is now into the start
of the 2017 season, which runs from June to November. Ike, the last
hurricane to hit the Houston region, caused $34bn in damage and killed
112 people across several states in September 2008. There is little hope
the situation is going to get better any time soon..."
File photo credit: "
Houston has more casualties and property loss from floods than any other locality in the US." Photograph: David J Phillip/AP.
Climate Change Deniers Aren't Tired of Winning Yet. A story at
New Republic traces the playbook for those with a vested interest in climate-related misinformation: "...
But
two months in, some prominent members of the denier community began to
worry. “We have a problem,” Ebell said at a March conference for the
Heartland Institute, an organization dedicated to discrediting climate
science. “Swamp creatures are still [at the White House]. They are
trying to infiltrate the administration. And some of them are
succeeding.” Alarmed by Trump’s indecision on Paris, Ebell’s
organization—the Competitive Enterprise Institute, which is partly
funded by coal companies—began running television ads pressuring Trump
to exit. Paris wasn’t the only issue raising alarms, as several members
of Ebell’s EPA transition team expressed concerns
about Pruitt. They complained that he wasn’t speaking strongly enough
against climate science; wasn’t acting quickly enough to repeal
regulations; and had not acted to undo the EPA’s categorization of
carbon dioxide as a pollutant. Breitbart’s James Delingpole—one of the most prolific anti-environmentalist trolls on the internet—tore into Pruitt and Trump for not being aggressive enough in rejecting climate science, and even suggested Pruitt consider resigning..."
315 Gigatons of Man-Made CO2; Half Of That Released Since 1986. A new paper at
Climate Change caught my eye; here's an excerpt of the abstract: "
This
paper presents a quantitative analysis of the historic fossil fuel and
cement production records of the 50 leading investor-owned, 31
state-owned, and 9 nation-state producers of oil, natural gas, coal, and
cement from as early as 1854 to 2010. This analysis traces emissions
totaling 914 GtCO2e—63 % of cumulative worldwide emissions of industrial CO2
and methane between 1751 and 2010—to the 90 “carbon major” entities
based on the carbon content of marketed hydrocarbon fuels (subtracting
for non-energy uses), process CO2 from cement manufacture, CO2 from flaring, venting, and own fuel use, and fugitive or vented methane. Cumulatively, emissions of 315 GtCO2e have been traced to investor-owned entities, 288 GtCO2e to state-owned enterprises, and 312 GtCO2e to nation-states. Of these emissions, half has been emitted since 1986..."
File photo: Billy Wilson, flickr.
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