* 80 F. not out of the question by the weekend south/west of the Minnesota River, nearly 20 degrees above average!
* Nationwide it was the 4th warmest September in 50 years for the USA and all of North America, the warmest since 2005. September was also the 8th wettest in 50 years across North America. More from Planalytics here.
Paul's Conservation MN Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
Today: Sunny, windy and mild. Winds: S 15-25. High: near 70
Tuesday night: Mostly clear and seasonably cool. Low: 50
Wednesday: Blue sky, pretty spectacular. high: 69
Thursday: Sunny with a lukewarm breeze. Impossible to focus. High: 70
Friday: Sunny, unseasonably mild, 10-15 degrees above average. High: 72
Saturday: Kicking off the best weekend of October, one of the nicest of the entire fall season. Mostly sunny and beautiful. High: 74
Sunday: Plenty of sun, possibly the warmest day in sight. High: 76
Monday: Sun fades behind high clouds, still balmy. High: 75
The weather verdict is short and extra-sweet: sunny & spectacular through early next week. No chance of rain. Temperatures 10-20 degrees above average for this time of year (normal high now is 60 F. in the metro area). Friends and colleagues looking for (lame) excuses to sneak outside. I'm not exaggerating when I say this will be the BEST WEEK OF AUTUMN, and remarkably, this Chamber Of Commerce-Worthy weather will spill over into next weekend, when the mercury may brush 80 F. south and west of the Minnesota River. Yes, now that it's October now we're finally getting the September we never really enjoyed. Remember, the atmosphere tends to "even things out." Unusually cool, wet weather is usually (but not always) followed by spells of equally warm & dry weather. Considering September rainfall was 2-5 times higher than average across most of Minnesota, we're due for a swing in the other direction.
Extended computer models keep us well above average through the 20th of October, highs reaching well into the 60s through the third week of October. At some point reality will catch up with us and a MUCH colder front will come barreling southward out of Canada. Maybe we'll pay a price come late October, but as far as I dare look out (about 15-17 days) the pattern looks more like mid September than classic October weather. Get ready for one of the more memorable Octobers in recent history - this may wind up being one for the record books.
NASA Study Sees Earth's Water Cycle Pulse Quickening. Freshwater is flowing into Earth's ocean in greater amounts every year, thanks to more frequent and extreme storms related to global warming, according to a first-of-its-kind study by a team of NASA and university researchers.
They found 18 percent more water fed into the world's ocean from rivers and melting polar ice sheets in 2006 than in 1994. The average annual rise was 1.5 percent. "That might not sound like much – 1.5 percent a year – but after a few decades, it's huge," said Jay Famiglietti, UC Irvine Earth system science professor and principal investigator on the study, published this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. He noted that while freshwater is essential to humans and ecosystems, the rain is falling in all the wrong places, for all the wrong reasons.
"In general, more water is good," Famiglietti said. "But here's the problem: Not everybody is getting more rainfall, and those who are may not need it. What we're seeing is exactly what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicted – that precipitation is increasing in the tropics and the Arctic Circle with heavier, more punishing storms. Meanwhile, hundreds of millions of people live in semiarid regions, and those are drying up."The complete article from NASA is here.
Historic Pakistan Flooding. In late July 2010, flooding caused by heavy monsoon rains began in several regions of Pakistan, including the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Sindh, Punjab and parts of Baluchistan. According to the Associated Press, the floods have affected about one-fifth of the country. Tens of thousands of villages have been flooded, more than 1,500 people have been killed, and millions have been left homeless. The floodwaters are not expected to fully recede before late August.