* October 2010: 5th warmest on record for the Twin Cities, temperatures running 6.3 F. warmer than average.
Winter Outlook From NOAA. La NIna is strengthening in the Pacific, a cold phase which correlates with cooler than normal winters for Minnesota and the Upper Midwest. But every La Nina is different - there are no guarantees that we'll have a harsher-than-usual winter, but statistically - odds seem to favor that we may be grappling with a litlte more wind chill than we've seen in recent winters. I sure hope this outlook for November - January is WRONG!
Winter Precipitation. More snow than average is predicted from the Pacific Northwest into the Dakotas, as well as the Ohio Valley, La Nina favoring a drier-than-normal winter for the Deep South. We'll see. The NWS has more details here.
La Nina Pattern. Prevailing jet stream winds this winter will favor a massive ridge of high pressure over western Canada, which may focus a norhtwesterly wind flow on much of America east of the Mississippi River. Joy.
Back to "Average". It's been nearly 2 weeks since we've experienced a cooler-than-average day. In spite of bright sun the afternoon high only reached 49 at Duluth, 53 at St. Cloud and the Twin Cities, about 3-4 degrees cooler than normal (for a change). A south wind will lure the mercury well into the 60s Friday, near 70 south/west of the Minnesota River - the last lukewarm day in sight.
Paul's Conservation MN Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
Today: Mostly sunny and spectacular (last lukewarm day of 2010?) Winds: S 10-15. High: 69 (many thermometers topping 70 south/west of the Twin Cities).
Friday night: Dry, beautiful evening for football (readings falling into the 50s). Clouds increase overnight. Low: 49
Saturday: Overcast with rain developing. High: 56
Saturday night: More rain, patchy fog. Low: 43
Sunday: Cloudy and soggy with periods of rain. High: 54
Monday: Still damp with more rain. High: 55
Tuesday: Showers taper with partial clearing, windy and cooler. High: near 50
Wednesday: More clouds than sun with a gusty wind. High: 47
Thursday: Raw and windy with sprinkles, even a few flurries mixing in north/west of the metro area. High: 44
* Halloween Outlook: Some sun, highs in the mid to upper 50s, Trick or Treat temperatures near 50 Right now odds favor dry weather on Oct. 31.
Climate Change Threatens Emerging Superpowers, Report Warns. India and Bangladesh face the greatest long-term risk to their populations, ecosystems and emerging businesses, according to a survey of 170 countries. As you can see - most of the at-risk nations are in Africa, Asia and Central America. More details here.