1/10" snow so far in March.
8" snow on the ground as of Saturday evening.
2" additional snow possible by Monday morning.
2-4" additional on Wednesday (heaviest amounts southeastern suburbs of St. Paul).
1-2" expected Friday night.
6"+ possible March 16-17.
6"+ possible March 19-20
100% probability we'll never take a Minnesota spring for granted ever again.
Sunday Afternoon GFS Run. The 18z run printed out .49" of liquid precipitation by Thursday morning, a total of roughly 4-5" between tonight and Thursday.
Trending Upward. Last night's (00z) GFS run increased the amounts by rougly .05" - no big deal, right? But this may be the start of a trend, a gradual northward shift in the storm track that could (in theory) bring heavier snow bands into the Twin Cities, especially the southern and eastern suburbs. We'll see if this trend continues today. The GFS has a bad habit of predicting that storms will stay farther south (than the actually do). This "southward bias" is something we try to compensate for. Bottom line: we may wind up getting more than just a couple inches on Wednesday.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota: