"The U. S. Drought Monitor depicts nearly every Minnesota county as experiencing some level of drought." Source: Minnesota State Climatology Office.
7.4 "plowable" (2"+) snowfalls every winter in the Twin Cities, according to the MN State Climate Office.
4.5 days (on average) in November with a tenth of an inch of snow or more in the Twin Cities.
* Sunday, November 13: my prediction for first snow flurries of the winter season in the Twin Cities (coming nearly a month later than average).
October 16: mean date of the first flurries in the Twin Cities (MN State Climate Office data)
5.9" new snow fell on Denver Wednesday. Portions of I-25 and I-80 were closed due to drifting snow and whiteout conditions.
.6" snow reported in Omaha, Nebraska Wednesday.
South Florida: October, 2010 was driest on record. October, 2011 was the 4th wettest on record.
Predicted Snowfall. Here is the GFS solution through 1 pm Monday, showing additional snow from Colorado and Wyoming into North Dakota.
Saturday: Windy and Mild. At 7 pm Saturday the NAM model shows an intense area of low pressure northeast of Denver, south/southeast winds howling across the Great Plains, snow limited to the Northern Rockies and western Dakotas. Highs may reach the mid to upper 50s Saturday as far north as the Twin Cities and Milwaukee.
Deer Hunting Firearm Opener. It will look and feel more like late September or early October out there on Saturday, sun fading behind increasing clouds, a stiff southeast wind (15-30 mph) with highs well up into the 50s. 60-degree highs aren't out of the question south of the Minnesota River.
Sunday Morning: Brushed By Showers. We stay on the mild side of the storm track through the first half of the day Sunday, highs reaching the 50s (to near 60 south/east of the Twin Cities). Rain showers are most likely north of the metro area Saturday night and Sunday.
- October 2011 was another very dry month throughout Minnesota. This marked the third consecutive month of widespread rainfall shortfalls. In some locales, it was among the driest Octobers of the modern record.
"From a weather perspective, October had a bit of everything. In North America, temperatures were above normal, although cooler than last year, helping year-over-year seasonal demand. Precipitation was also above normal and last year. The U.S. had its 12th warmest October in 51 years, although still cooler than last year. Precipitation trended near normal. Canada had its warmest October since 2007 and wettest since 2006. Snowfall was notable, particularly in the U.S., highlighted by a late-month storm in the Northeast. Snowfall across the US was 209% greater than last year and 26% above normal. Snowfall in Canada was 166% greater than last year and above normal.
Significant Weather Events:
- October began in the U.S. with the warmest first week since 2007 and was wetter than last year, although drier than normal. In Canada, the first week was the warmest since 2005 with above normal rain.
- NOAA’s National Weather Service ranks April 2011 as the most active tornado month on record with 750 tornadoes across the U.S. There were a reported 361 fatalities.
- The April 27 “Super Outbreak” spawned four intensely destructive EF-5 and 11 EF-4 tornados across Alabama, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi and Tennessee.
- These storms launched an immediate response from the whole community, which included local, state, and federal agencies, voluntary, faith-based and community groups, the private sector and the public.
- Nearly $257 million in federal disaster assistance was distributed to survivors in the form of grants and low-interest recovery loans, as of October 20.
- FEMA obligated nearly $211 million in federal aid to local and state government and non-profit agencies to reimburse costs for public recovery and rebuilding projects such as debris removal and repairs to public facilities.
- FEMA provided more than $254 million in direct Federal assistance through mission assignments to other federal agencies for other essential commodities, emergency work and debris removal.
"The above is base-scan reflectivity from the NWS radar at LSX (St. Charles/St. Louis, Missouri) - time about 1800 UTC today (Wednesday, November 2nd). I have been noticing these strange, and persistent, clear air returns for a number of days, and asked about them in an e-mail. The LSX Webmaster replied: It is interference on our radar being caused by radio interference from 4G wireless internet towers that are popping up across the metro area. The Radar Operations Center in Norman Oklahoma is working on a filter that will dampen out these spikes. Hopefully they will be able to implement the filter later this year."
Gray Wednesday. A cool frontal passage sparked thick clouds, even a little light rain and sprinkles - just a trace of rain in the Twin Cities, where the high was a brisk 51. Highs ranged from 47 at Alexandria and Hibbing to 50 at St. Cloud and 53 at Grand Marais.
Sunny Finale. WeatherNation meteorologist Katie Ferrier snapped this picture of a setting sun Wednesday, a tip-off of a bright, sunny Thursday to come.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota: