82 F. average high for June 26.
79 F. high on June 26, 2011.
6. Today will be the 6th day this month of 90-degree heat, the 8th day in 2012 of 90+ readings.
76.9 F. predicted dew point at 7 pm this evening in the Twin Cities.
Heat Advisory in effect for the metro.
Air Pollution Health Advisory in effect for the metro.
Hottest Day Yet? I'm feeling a little better about going out on a limb and predicting upper 90s later today. The 2 most recent NAM simulations show 97, the RAP (rapid update) model is hinting at 100. High dew points may limit how hot it gets today (our hottest days usually come on lower dew point afternoons). But if the sun stays out and winds keep blowing from the south/southwest we should see mid to upper 90s. A few towns just south of MSP may sample 100 F.
Heat Advisory. Here's the latest from the local NWS office:
A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT ON WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...THE TWIN CITIES METROPOLITAN AREA AND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A MUCH WARMER AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY THE AFTERNOON...THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE THE RISK FOR HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES.
Heat Spike. Heat Advisories are posted for much of America's midsection, an Excessive Heat Watch for Kansas City and eastern Iowa/northwestern Illinois. Air Stagnation Advisories (gray) are posted from Dallas to Atlanta to Little Rock and Knoxville. Latest watches and warnings from NOAA here.
105 F. at Denver Tuesday. That's two days in a row of 105 degree heat, both days tying the all-time record for hottest weather ever recorded in The Mile High City.
111 F. high at Miles City, Montana Tuesday - hottest temperature on record.
101 F. high at Colorado Springs Tuesday, the hottest temperature ever recorded. Previous record:
Child passenger summer safety tips:
• Never leave a child alone in a car – even with the windows partially opened– as a vehicle’s interior can still heat up quickly to deadly temperatures.
• Make a habit of looking in the vehicle – front and back – before locking the door and walking away. Children have died because they fell asleep in their car seats and their parents didn’t realize they were still in the car.
• If your spouse or a guardian is taking your children to day care, ask him or her to call you to make sure the drop-off went according to plan."
At-Risk Populations: Ozone is expected to near a level that is considered unhealthy for sensitive groups. Those sensitive to ozone include people with preexisting respiratory conditions, the elderly, children, and individuals who participate in outdoor activities requiring extended or heavy exertion. These individuals are encouraged to postpone or reduce vigorous outdoor activity, or schedule outdoor activity in the morning, when ozone levels are lower. Even persons who are otherwise healthy may experience health effects when ozone levels increase.
Health Impacts: Elevated levels of ozone have been linked with respiratory health effects. Exposure to high levels of ozone may exacerbate preexisting health conditions. High ozone levels may make it more difficult to breathe deeply and vigorously, cause shortness of breath and breathing discomfort, and result in coughing and a sore or scratchy throat. If you experience these symptoms, contact your physician."
45.2" rain at Yankeetown, Florida from Hurricane Easy in 1950, the record for most rain from a tropical cyclone in Florida. Details below.
103 F. June 7, 2011
101 F. July 31, 2006
101 F. July 13, 1995
100 F. July 3, 1990
101 F. August 1, 1988
105 F. July 31, 1988
102 F. July 15, 1988
101 F. June 24, 1988
102 F. June 8, 1985
100 F. July 5, 1982
* thanks to Greg Spoden, Climatologist at the Minnesota DNR, for passing this along.
A Week's Worth Of Records. 2,091 records in just the last week, record rains from the Pacific Northwest to Duluth to New England, and a surge of record heat. Map courtesy of NOAA and Ham Weather.
Score One For The Environment. "Federal Court Upholds EPA's Global Warming Rules". Bloomberg Businessweek has the full story here.
* Cyclone "Easy" dumped 45.2" of rain on Yankeetown, Florida in 1950, the Florida state record.
Photo credit above: "In this Saturday, June 23, 2012 photo provided by Darrell Spangler, a firefighter works the scene of a home being consumed by flames in Estes Park, Colo. As many as 21 structures were destroyed by the fire on Saturday. Eight separate wildfires are burning across Colorado, which is seeing record-breaking heat." (AP Photo/Darrell Spangler)
Photo credit above: "A C-130 Hercules lands at Peterson Air Force Base for more fire retardant Tuesday, June 26, 2012, while fighting the Waldo Canyon Fire. Four air tankers were battling the fire west of Colorado Springs, Colorado. The tankers dropped 3,000 gallons of water or fire retardant in less than five seconds, covering an area one-quarter mile long by 100 feet wide." (Christian Murdock/Colorado Springs Gazette/MCT)
Photo credit above: "Smoke billows from the hills west of Colorado Springs, Colo., where the Waldo Canyon fire had forced thousands to evacuate." (Bob Pearson, European Pressphoto Agency / June 25, 2012).
Good Riddance. Debby was downgraded to a tropical depression yesterday evening, before sweeping into the Atlantic tonight and early Thursday, accelerating quickly out to sea. All the models agree on that. Source here.
5-Day Rainfall Prediction. Another 5" of rain is predicted for the Jacksonville area, but Florida will dry out the latter half of this week. T-storms may dump over 1" of rain on Rockford, Madison and Chicago, but dry (hot) weather is the rule through much of next week. Source: NOAA.
Map credit above: Fleet Numerical Meteorology & Oceanography Center
"Paul - After seeing the morning forecast today for out west, there was pretty much Red Flag Advisories in the mountain states. I am planning a trip to Yellowstone National Park at the end of July. What is the risk of fire weather at that time? Thanks."
Aaron Coates, Golden Valley
Aaron - I'm genuinely worried about the scope and intensity of wildfires this summer. Fire season is starting 1-2 months early, and I suspect things will get worse before they improve by autumn. Peak fire season is historically July, August and September. A lack of winter snow, coupled with an early spring and unusually hot, dry weather, has increased the fire risk out west. I wouldn't change my plans right now for Yellowstone - but I would keep monitoring conditions and have a Plan B in case active fires are going on nearby in late July.
DON'T Stop to Take That Amazing Photo of the Swollen River During Floods"If you find yourself staring at a swollen river overflowing that picturesque, don't pop out of the car and start snapping pictures and sending them from your mobile phone to your friends.
Everyone loves to get that unusual photo, but don't waste precious time being a citizen journalist if you happen to be driving through an area that's starting to flood.
Act quickly. That means move to higher ground."
DO Detour Around a Dangerous Route to Avoid Flood Areas"There's always another way around something. Detour around a flood zone even if it takes time. Or, postpone whatever meeting or errand you were going to drive to if there's a flood warning. Is it really essential? If not, don't go."
DON'T Try to Drive Through a Water-Covered Roadway"You can't really judge the depth of a flood, and certainly not when approaching in a car. How deep is it? Will you get stuck? If the water is flowing, the current might be stronger than you'd expect."
* photo above courtesy of NOAA.
Photo credit above: College Humor.
Tuesday Numbers. Yesterday was a perfectly normal day, an average day for late June in Minnesota. A dry sky prevailed statewide, only a few light showers and sprinkles this morning (most of which evaporated before reaching the ground). Highs ranged from 78 at Eau Claire and Alexandria to 81 St. Cloud, 92 in the Twin Cities and 84 at Redwood Falls.
Paul's Conservation Minnesota Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
“The Court’s decision should put an end, once and for all, to any questions about the EPA’s legal authority to protect us from industrial carbon pollution through the Clean Air Act. This decision is a devastating blow to those who challenge the overwhelming scientific evidence of climate change and deny its impact on public health and welfare.”
Photo credit above: "The destructive power of rising sea levels will be felt first when storms hit vulnerable places such as Newport Beach, said Gary Griggs, director of the Institute of Marine Sciences at UC Santa Cruz. Above, the Wedge at Newport Beach." (Luis Sinco / Los Angeles Times / June 25, 2012).