71 F. high on Monday in the Twin Cities.
75 F. average high on June 3.
77 F. high on June 3, 2012.
Trace of rain fell yesterday.
.77" rain predicted for the metro area by Thursday morning (00z NAM).
An Active Pattern. NOAA's latest 84-hour NAM model shows a disturbance pushing out of the Gulf of Mexico, spreading heavy rain into Florida and possibly coastal Alabama by late tomorrow. The next trough of low pressure whips up showery rains over the Upper Midwest, a few severe storms over the Central Plains. The west remains hot and dry, increasingly vulnerable to wildfires.
"...If anything, the events of Friday evening demonstrate storm chasers need to back off. For too long, too many chasers – both professional and amateur – have been crossing the line..." - excerpt of a post from Washington Post meteorologist Jason Samenow. Story below. Tweet above from a chronology from Digital Meteorologist, which has more on Friday evening's tornado tragedy.
File photo of the late Tim Samaras, during a tornado intercept in New Manchester, South Dakota. Photo by Carsten Peter/National Geographic Image Collection.
*Note: The semi clip in this video is from a REAR go-pro camera, not the windshield.
"Chasing The Storm, But Hoping Not To Catch It." The New York Times has more on Samaras's life and recent death here.
* severe flooding has temporarily closed Mississippi River shipping in St. Louis. Details from Reuters.
Missouri residents told to evacuate after levee breach:
Hundreds of people were being evacuated from their homes in Missouri after a levee was breached Monday night.
Earlier Monday, a bridge connecting West Alton, Missouri, and Alton, Illinois, was shutdown after a temporary flood barricade gave way.
Forecasters say there could be major flooding Tuesday.
* more on extreme flooding in Europe from The Washington Post.
Photo credit: AFP.
Summary: More severe thunderstorms fire up across the Plains, with a low-grade threat for Oklahoma City Tuesday afternoon and evening, although the threat level for large, devastating tornadoes will not be as high as previous weeks. We're keeping a close watch on a tropical system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico. Florida facilities that often flood may see problems by Wednesday night and Thursday. Right now I don't expect this system to strengthen into Tropical Storm Andrea, but minor to moderate flooding (inland and coastal) is still possible along the East Coast from Thursday into Saturday. Meanwhile historic flooding continues over Central Europe, with numerous mudslides reported across Switzerland and Austria and some of the worst flooding in centuries from Passau to Salzburg and Prague. The flood crest will continue to move downstream into Hungary and Romania in the coming days. Conditions slowly improve over the next 36 hours. We'll continue to monitor conditions - as always, if you have a specific weather question don't hesitate to drop me a line.
Step 1: Develop a Time Budget
People who manage their finances well follow a few consistent principles. For one, they spend only what they have, so they avoid unnecessary debt and the corresponding stress and cost. They also make sure that they allocate their money correctly, so that they have sufficient funds for everything they need to buy. Finally, they cut costs where they can, without a significant negative impact, and make sure to put money into investments where they have a good probability of a return. The same principles apply with effective time investment. To have a clear sense of what you can reasonably handle, you should start out by calculating how many hours you have to "spend" each week. If you tend toward over-allocating time toward work, you can do the calculations in reverse..." (Image source here).
An Economist's Dire Warning About Global Warming. Here's an excerpt of an article at IT World: "...As for the global warming skeptics, Weitzman asks, "Are they or the mainstream climate scientists more right than wrong? [C]an we afford the luxury of assuming that a small minority of climate skeptics are more correct than the vast majority of mainstream climate scientists? What is the probability of that?" Good question! The answer, at least to any rational, objective human being, is 0%. There' a zero percent chance that the global warming skeptics are right, while the vast majority of mainstream climate scientists are wrong. It's plain silliness to believe otherwise. Actually, it's far worse than that, as Weitzman concludes: "The bottom line is that if we continue on a business-as-usual trajectory, then there is some non-trivial probability of a catastrophic climate outcome materializing at some future time. Prudence would seem to dictate taking action to cut back greenhouse gas emissions significantly. If we don't start buying into this insurance policy soon, the human race could end up being very sorry should a future climate catastrophe rear its ugly head..."
Photo credit above: Flickr/Mikael Miettinen