37 F. average high on November 23.
27 F. high on November 23, 2012.
Minnesota Weather History on November 23 - courtesy of MPX National Weather Service office:
1993: The Thanksgiving Day Blizzard of 1993. Central and Western to South Central Minnesota were affected by a slow moving storm system that traveled across the upper midwest during the Thanksgiving holiday causing heavy snow across most of Minnesota. Travel became extremely difficult if not impossible over west central Minnesota where over a foot of snow accumulated. A number of car accidents were reported and several community events were canceled. Snowfall in excess of six inches or greater occurred north of a line from Bricelyn (Faribault County) to the Twin Cities. Counties affected by this storm include Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Chippewa, Chisago, Douglas, Faribault, Hennepin, Isanti, Kanabec, Kandiyohi, Lac Qui Parle, Martin, Mcleod, Meeker, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Nicollet, Pine, Pope, Ramsey, Redwood, Renville, Rock, Sherburne, Sibley, Stearns, Stevens, Swift, Todd, Washington, Watonwan, Wright, and Yellow Medicine.
1983: Snowstorm dumps almost two feet at Babbitt and about 20 inches at Duluth.
1825: Warm spell begins over Ft. Snelling, Temperature rises up to 70 degrees over the week.
"Nothing between Minnesota and the North Pole but a barbed wire fence." Not hard to believe this morning, but a quick thaw is likely by tomorrow. High temperatures reach the 30s much of this week, close to average for late November. Nothing even remotely resembling a "storm" is brewing; heavy rain & snow detours well south & east of home into next weekend.
Dallas will pick up some ice tonight; that same storm will spread flooding rains and mountain snows into the east by Tuesday & Wednesday. If you're flying east before Thanksgiving may I suggest deep breathing exercises & Ambien. Expect delays.
SPC has updated the "filtered" number of tornado reports from last Sunday's historic, late-season tornado outbreak to 106. Hard to wrap my brain around that number. Following the outbreak I wrote about the benefits of a safe room. For the price of a family vacation to Disney World you can reinforce a closet with steel & concrete.
A 2008 tornado threw Tom Cook's family hundreds of feet from their home. After installing a steel shelter they walked away from a big 2011 twister.
He told me "The difference between a shelter and no shelter is $100,000 in hospital bills and a funeral."
* Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex under a Winter Storm Warning for a mix of wintry precipitation. I still expect a period of sleet and freezing rain (glaze ice) Sunday night into Monday morning. Monday may be a commuting mess in Dallas, and across much of northern, central and western Texas. Power outages due to ice build-up on trees and power lines is most likely from the northern/western suburbs of Fort Worth to Abilene, San Angelo and Wichita Falls.
* Winter Storm Watches issued as far east as Shreveport, Louisiana and Hot Springs, Arkansas.
* Potential for flooding rains across much of East Coast Tuesday and Wednesday with a growing risk of urban flooding. ECMWF (European) guidance is hinting at heavy snowfall amounts for the Appalachians and Shenandoah Valley, with a slushy coating possible into Washington D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia and New York's western/northern suburbs, generally west of I-95. I still believe we're looking at a mostly (heavy) rain event for major eastern urban centers Tuesday and Wednesday - drying out in time for Thanksgiving Day, with no post-Thanksgiving weather complications.
TODAY: Some sun, stiff wind, not quite as cold. Winds: S 15+ High: near 30
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 27
MONDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, thawing out. High: 37
TUESDAY: More clouds, a stinging wind. Wake-up: 18. High: 28
WEDNESDAY: Bright sun, less wind. Wake-up: 10. High: 25
THANKSGIVING: Intervals of sun. Food coma. Wake-up: 19. High: 31
FRIDAY: Some sun, no travel headaches. Wake-up: 20. High: 32
SATURDAY: Partly sunny, still quiet. Wake-up: 22. High: 33
* photo above courtesy of Steve Burns.
Graphic credit above: "Projections of global mean sea level rise over the 21st century relative to 1986–2005 from the combination of the computer models with process-based models, for greenhouse gas concentration scenarios. The assessed likely range is shown as a shaded band." Credit: IPCC Working Group I.
Photograph by Claire Martin for Bloomberg Businessweek.
Photo credit above: Catholic News Service photo. "A view of a glacial lake is seen in Juascaran National Park in Peru in late September."