-6 F. high yesterday.
24 F. average high on January 27.
33 F. high on January 27, 2013.
12" snow on the ground in the Twin Cities.
Windchill Warning in effect thru midday today.
Minnesotans are a tough, resilient bunch. On a morning like this I guess that's self evident. We grudgingly tolerate a few arctic fronts, in return for living in a magical land, one immune to earthquakes and hurricanes.
In 1885 a smug New York City reporter described St. Paul as "another Siberia, unfit for human habitation in winter". The next year city elders launched the first Winter Carnival, to prove to the world that winters at this latitude are magical and memorable.
Proving my theory that those who can - do. Those who can't - criticize. Or consult.
King Boreas will get the last laugh this year; no melting in Rice Park until further notice. Although not a Top 15 Coldest January, this may wind up being the chilliest since 1997, but a far cry from the frigid winter of 1977.
We've seen subzero AND 30s - huge temperature swings whipping up strong winds capable of ground blizzards.
The pattern is brutally persistent; colder than average into at least mid-February, but not the polar, school-closing cold of recent days.
20s return tomorrow. Anywhere else in America that would qualify as bitter. Here, after our recent spell of Nanook?
Sounds like sweet relief to me.
* file photo credit here.
Do you remember the “Silver Icicle Award” that was printed in the Star Tribune after the terrible January of 1977? We had just moved back to Minneapolis from sunny San Jose, California, so it felt particularly brutal and cruel. When we left, there was a drought in California and all the reservoirs were at very low levels. Déjà vu all over again.
There were five days of record lows that January, two days of near record lows, a high on 33 on January 23, followed by a plunge to a wind chill low of -70 on Friday, January 28. Then Governor Rudy Perpich declared an energy emergency, asked for a 4-day work week and for thermostats to be set at 65 daytime and 60 at night. On the 26th, President Jimmy Carter asked Congress for energy emergency legislation.
Isn’t it time for another “Silver Icicle Award”? I clipped and saved the award from 1977. It is one of my proudest achievements to have survived that brutal January of 1977 and if the Star Tribune would publish another award after this January final ends, I would do the same.
Bob Brown, Bloomington, MN
Here is what has changed since Sunday's update:
* I still don't see a blizzard or major storm for the New York City area next Sunday.
* The chance of rain/snow showers has risen for Saturday night into early Sunday morning for East Rutherford, but skies should start to clear by midday and afternoon Sunday with dry conditions expected for the game.
* Temperatures should be in the low to mid 30s at MetLife Stadium by late afternoon and evening with a northwest breeze at 10 mph. Considering the possibilities in early February - not a bad outcome at all.
* No problems getting into NYC airports Friday or Saturday morning, or getting out of town Monday. A rain/snow mix may spread into New York late Tuesday, changing to all rain next Wednesday as highs surge into the 50s.
Summary: It's still a bit early to celebrate, but the longer we go, with computers in fairly good agreement, the higher our confidence level grows that we probably won't see debilitating weather for Super Bowl Sunday. A few nuisance rain/snow showers will push across the New York City area Saturday night, and Sunday may get off to a wet start. But skies should brighten by midday over MetLife Stadium, with gradually improving weather and a few sunny spells by afternoon as temperatures slowly sink through the 30s. A more significant period of rain/snow may arrive by midday Tuesday, changing to all rain next Wednesday, but the window of Sunday into Monday looks fairly quiet, by New York standards in early February. Let's get a few more computer runs under our belt - then maybe I can start to exhale by midweek. Stay tuned...
* Period of rain, changing to freezing rain (glaze ice) then finally snow from Tuesday PM into Wednesday PM, from near New Orleans and Mobile to Pensacola, Augusta, Savannah, Hilton Head, Myrtle Beach, Wilmington and Outer Banks.
* Atlanta may see a coating of slush, maybe 1-2" south of ATL, but heaviest snow/sleet/ice bands should stay south of Atlanta.
* Amounts may be "plowable", especially eastern North Carolina (heaviest bands probably staying east of Charlotte and Raleigh).
Summary: Never a dull moment, not this winter. While interest grows in Super Bowl weather conditions at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey for Sunday, the short-term threat will be ice and snow from the Gulf Coast into the Carolinas. Atlanta should be spared a major accumulation; latest 12z models hinting at 1" of slushy snow Tuesday night for KATL. We'll keep an eye on this system and update you on Super Bowl weather, in the event some of your are lucky enough to have tickets to the big game. Otherwise the weather should be just fine in your family room for Sunday's Big Spectacle.
Paul Douglas - Senior Meteorologist - Alerts Broadcaster
Photo credit above: "Snow is cleared from the parking lot of MetLife Stadium, which will host the Super Bowl, in East Rutherford, N.J., Jan. 22, 2014. On Jan. 26, a meteorologist hired by the NFL made his first presentation to some two-dozen executives who are looking to him to tell them what to expect on Super Bowl Sunday." (Fred R. Conrad/The New York Times).
Photo credit: Shutterstock.
TODAY: Fresh air! Mosquito-free. Windchill Warning AM hours. WC: -35 Winds: W 10+ High: near 0
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, not quite as cold. Low: -5
WEDNESDAY: Breezy and milder as clouds increase. High: 25
THURSDAY: Partly sunny, turning colder again. Wake-up: 15. High: 16
FRIDAY: Clouds increase, snow far south (near the Iowa border). Wake-up: -5. High: 9
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, cold wind. Wake-up: -2. High: 12
SUNDAY: Sunny start, clouds increase. Wake-up: -4. High: 17
MONDAY: Bright sun, can't catch a break. Wake-up: -3. High: 18
The end of January, when the temperature measurements of the previous year are in, is always the time to take a look at the global temperature trend. (And, as the Guardian noted aptly, also the time where the “climate science denialists feverishly yell [...] that global warming stopped in 1998.”) Here is the ranking of the warmest years in the four available data sets of the global near-surface temperatures
- See more at: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2014/01/global-temperature-2013/#sthash.wHOYD4UM.dpuf
File photo credit above: "The sun set over the Bakken Oil Formation, behind an oil well near Williston, North Dakota." Jim Gehrz - Star Tribune.