10 F. high yesterday at MSP.
34 F. average high on November 27.
25 F. high on November 27, 2013.
November 27, 1998: The morning low in Rochester, MN of 54 degrees was actually higher than the previous record high for the date. The temperature would reach 62 degrees during the day, smashing the old record of 53
November 27, 1983: Widespread snowfall occurred across much of central Minnesota with snowfall totals at or above 1 foot in many areas. A record 15 inches fell in Gaylord and 14 inches fell in Farmington.
November 27, 1960: Major storm produces near hurricane force winds on Lake Superior, with 20 to 40 foot waves on the lake. Erosion and damage occurred on the North Shore. Source: NOAA.
If you look at the data, "meteorological winter", marking the coldest 90 days of the year, historically, begins on December 1, not the 21st. Temperatures in Minnesota tend to bottom out in mid or late January, if anyone has the temerity to ask. Doubtful.
Which is why today's computer models are such a head-scratcher. For months now we've been tracking predictions of El Nino, a mild stain in the Pacific, which warms the air thousands of miles downwind. El Nino usually keeps Minnesota's winters a bit milder, re-routing the jet stream, trapping some of the coldest air over Canada. It's been delayed, but the El Nino signature is finally showing up - and it may soon spark a milder shift in the steering winds blowing into Minnesota.
The coldest Thanksgiving since 1985 gives way to icing today as milder air returns - the mercury hits 40F Saturday before tumbling again early next week. An extended Pacific thaw sets in late next week and spills over into the second week of December. Not exactly Indian Summer but a string of 30s and 40s are possible.
An early January Thaw? After a Nanook November maybe we'll catch a minor break next month.
This will NOT be a rerun of last winter.
Minnesota Ice. The Twin Cities Office of the National Weather Service tracks the greatest potential for a plowable accumulation early this morning: north/east of MSP. A little freezing drizzle/rain may add to the icing this morning.
TODAY: Coating to 2" snow and ice early - slippery roads AM hours. Winds: South 10. High: 29
FRIDAY NIGHT: Lingering clouds. Low: 24
SATURDAY: Patchy clouds, welcome thaw! High: near 40
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, much colder wind. Wake-up: 25. High: 27 (falling during the day)
MONDAY: Sunny, less wind. Feels like -10F. Wake-up: 1. High: 12
TUESDAY: Clouds and coating of flurries. Wake-up: 6. High: 25
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny, not as harsh. Wake-up: 16. High: 28
THURSDAY: Slow warming trend. Getting better. Wake-up: 19. High: 33
Map credit: "Global sea surface temperature anomaly in October 2014 versus the long term average 1951-1981. Note: Gray areas signify missing data." Courtesy NASA.