53 F. high in the Twin Cities Tuesday.
48 F. average high on November 4.
49 F. high on November 4, 2013.
This winter I'm predicting...snow! I expect it to be cold, crystalline, slushy at times, slippery to the touch; a flaky-white appearance due to scattering of light. The mere risk of snow will cause some people to make irrational decisions; commutes mangled, tempers tested.
The looming threat of frozen water accumulating on our streets will lead the news. Will there be school? How many inches in my yard?
Why is "weather expert" an oxymoron?
Here we go again: a nuisance snow is possible tonight, mainly north of the Twin Cities, where a little slush is possible. Ground temperatures are still mild, limiting how much snow can pile up in the short term. I don't expect any major travel problems through the weekend as the mercury begins to droop; each successive clipper pulling progressively colder air into Minnesota & Wisconsin.
It's early and confidence levels are still shockingly low, but the ECMWF is hinting at a more substantial storm with rain changing to snow Monday; accumulating snow tapering Tuesday morning as a storm takes a southerly track.
Here's my semi-educated hunch: our weather honeymoon is coming to an end. Next week may feel like late December.
Not. Ready. Yet.
* map above shows ECMWF guidance, valid next Monday night, November 10, courtesy of WSI.
Image credit above: "Satellite image of Tropical Storm Ana on Oct. 14, 2014." Photograph: NASA
The Essence of Evil. Evil = Dehumanization. And we've been doing it for millenia. Because everyone needs a good scapegoat to rationalize their deep-seated insecurities, inadequacies and failures. It's amazing what "ordinary people" are capable of. Here's a clip from a thoughtful and troubling story at Aeon: "...What is the common element in all these stories? It is, of course, the phenomenon of dehumanisation. But this is neither recent nor peculiar to Western civilisation. We find it in the writings from the ancient civilisations of Egypt, Mesopotamia, Greece and China, and in indigenous cultures all over the planet. At all these times and in all these places, it has promoted violence and oppression. And so it would seem to be a matter of considerable urgency to understand exactly what goes on when people dehumanise one another. Yet we still know remarkably little about it..."
- The atmosphere is getting hotter.
- The oceans are getting much hotter, and much more acidic.
- CO2 emissions are by far the largest cause of global warming and ocean acidification, and they are rising.
- Methane emissions are the second largest cause of warming, and they are rising..."
Why Two Crucial Pages Were Left Out Of The Latest U.N. Climate Report. Chris Mooney has the story at The Washington Post.