32 F. average high on December 2.
38 F. high on December 2, 2013.
December 2, 1998: Albert Lea soars to a record-setting 67 degrees.
"If the planet is warming why am I so cold?" A common refrain and as a meteorologist I sympathize. It's human nature to look out the window and assume it's like this (everywhere). Resist the urge.
Scientists tell us there's a good chance 2014 will be the warmest year on record, worldwide. Even warmer than 2010 and 1998. Earth has broken 6 monthly heat records in 2014; 47 since 1992. The last monthly cold record was set in 1916.
Was a harsh November (8.3F colder than average) an omen of the winter to come - or evidence of Arctic warming and a new level of jet stream volatility? It may be too early to answer that with confidence, but the extended thaw I've been talking about is still coming. 30s, 40s, even an outside shot at 50-degree warmth by mid-December, as most of the snow in your yard melts away.
You may think I'm mad (I get that a lot) but the next 2-3 weeks may resemble early March, not December.
El Nino is soaking California with flooding rains, turning steering winds more westerly, re-routing bursts of Canadian air away from the USA. Expect a thaw this weekend; by the end of next week I expect 40s, even a few 50s over southwest Minnesota.
What a baffling pattern.
* ECMWF solution valid next Friday morning, December 12, courtesy of WSI Corporation.
* maps above courtesy of Midwest Regional Climate Center.
Map above obtained using Climate Reanalyzer (http://cci-reanalyzer.org), Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, USA.
Americans Need To Prepare for More Extreme, Wet Weather. USA TODAY has the story - here's the introduction: "It's not overhyping: More extreme, wet weather events are likely across the USA, says National Weather Service director Louis Uccellini. "The hypothesis is that warmer air can hold more water vapor, and you squeeze that out over narrow areas, you're going to get very heavy precipitation," Uccellini explains. As the Earth heads toward its warmest year on record, that could mean even more moisture in the air..."
File photo credit: Tammy Ljungblad/Kansas City Star/MCT.
TODAY: Plenty of sun, still brisk. Feels like 5 above. Winds: West 10-15. High: near 20
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and chilly. Low: 8
THURSDAY: Partly sunny, not as cold. High: 28
FRIDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, still quiet. Wake-up: 17. High: 30
SATURDAY: Intervals of sun. Good travel weather. Wake-up: 17. High: 31
SUNDAY: Some sun, dripping icicles. Wake-up: 25. High: 37
MONDAY: Lot's of sun. Nothing on Doppler. Wake-up: 27. High: 33
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Happily bored. Wake-up: 19. High: 31
* photo courtesy of Brian Gustafson.