82 F. old record high (1882).
50 F. average high on April 1.
37 F. high on April 1, 2014.
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand" mused Jerome K. Jerome. Amen brother. Keeping tabs on Mother Nature is a blessing and a curse, depending on the day.
Computers, satellites and Doppler radar have resulted in fewer unpleasant surprises, fewer deaths, in spite of an uptick in extreme weather. But many days the 7-Day Outlook remains a mystery. We're drowning in data, adrift in a sea of dueling weather models, hundreds of them. What to believe, and when?
Exhibit A: the normally reliable ECMWF (European) model suggests chilly 30s and 40s next week with a couple inches of slushy snow close to home. Say what? Shades of early March. But NOAA's GFS is 5 to 15 degrees milder; highs closer to 50F.
There's little doubt you'll need a light jacket or sweatshirt by the weekend; a chilled Canadian breeze beating spring fever into submission until mid-April, when 60s should return. A cold rain Monday & Tuesday may mix with snow, especially north of MSP.
With Minnesota in moderate drought we'll take moisture any way we can get it. We need 2-6 inches of rain to get back up to "normal".
* .25 degree GFS guidance from NOAA, showing predicted snowfall amounts through April 9.
Photo credit above: "
Photo credit: Michael Dwyer, AP.
Surprising Research About Weather And Your Mood. Here's a snippet from a story at About Health: "...The commonly held belief that sunny bright days and pleasant weather generally makes people happier was not supported by this research. It was determined that temperature, wind and level of sunlight had a significant effect on negative mood. Sunlight also seemed to have an effect on participants' energy level. The authors speculated that sunlight's effects on tiredness may have something to do with Vitamin D3, which is indicated in the production of serotonin. Serotonin is a neurotransmitter that is involved with mood and level of energy..."
Photo credit above: "Solar panels on the roof of the Bullitt Center office building." (Steve Ringman / Seattle Times).
Photo credit above: "A solar power generating station in the Ukraine." Credit: Activ Solar/flickr.
Image credit above: "The relative frequency of 'dragons' in fictional literature (thick red line), as determined as a unigram probability4, with two historical reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperature (decadal smoothing) shown in blue5 and purple6. Global temperatures have been measured since 1855 (thick black line5). Temperature anomalies represent deviations from the 1961–90 reference period. The rising incidence of dragons in the literature correlates with rising temperatures, and suggests that these fire-breathing lizards are being sighted more frequently. As a result, the large-scale 'Third Stir' is deemed to be imminent."
* More April Fools' Day pranks, courtesy of BuzzFeed.
Photo credit above: "Doctored newspaper photo of a submarine in the Tar River, April 1, 1961. The Daily Reflector of Greenville N.C." Joyner Library at East Carolina University.
Photo credit above: "Great Blue Hill, ready to blow?" (James L. Woodward at Wikimedia Commons)
TODAY: Partly sunny, windy & pleasant. Winds: W 15-30. High: 62
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and cooler. Low: 31
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy and chilly. High: 46
SATURDAY: Patchy clouds, drier day of weekend. Wake-up: 35. High: 51
SUNDAY: Early showers, unsettled. Wake-up: 33. High: 45
MONDAY: Steadier, heavier rain possible. Wake-up: 32. High: 46
TUESDAY: More rain, slushy mix north? Wake-up: 37. High: 43
WEDNESDAY: Peeks of sun, still cooler than average. Wake-up: 32. High: 45
Photo credit above: "Irrigation water runs along a dried-up ditch between rice farms in Richvale, California." Photograph: Jae C. Hong/AP.