84 F. average high on July 16.
77 F. high on July 16, 2014.
.16" rain fell at MSP International Airport yesterday.
June 17, 2001: Lightning struck a Minnesota National Guard field training site located in Camp Ripley. Nearly two dozen Marine Corps reservists were sent to hospitals. Most were released after treatment.
June 17, 1952: 5.20 inches of rain fell in 3 1/2 hours at Moose Lake. Numerous basements were flooded and Highway 61 was impassable at Willow River.
June 17, 1934: Frost damages crops across the north with 34 in Baudette and Roseau.
No wonder why we're all so confused. I fear Mother Nature needs to be medicated. I swear my furnace kicked on yesterday. Air conditioners will grind away today and Saturday as the heat index rises well into the 90s. Head-snapping changes - factoring heat index today will feel about 30 degrees warmer than yesterday.
I was surprised to see Minneapolis* come in at number 2 on The Weather Channel's Climate Disruption Index, the top 25 U.S. cities impacted by climate change. Authored by leading climate scientists Minneapolis was second only to New Orleans, which made me do a triple-take. They note the 40 percent increase in precipitation since 1958, coupled with more severe droughts.
In a word, more "whiplash".
Tell that to residents of Brainerd. The Duluth National Weather Service estimates straight-line winds may have reached 100 mph last Sunday, literally snapping trees. A surreal sight. It was a severe downburst within a much larger developing derecho that formed over western and central Minnesota and then dived 700-800 miles southeast, creating wind damage as far away as Kentucky the next day.
Yesterday's cool, wind-whipped drizzle gives way to hazy sun today with a shot at 90F. T-storms may rumble in Saturday morning, but a push of Canadian air drops dew points into the comfortable 50s on Sunday. Expect a run of 80s next week with sporadic storms - we may be well into the 90s the weekend of June 25-26, if ECWMF guidance is to be believed.
Lately I'm happy just to savor a quiet day.
* What do I think of the ranking? I'm not a climate scientist, but I am tracking the meteorological changes, shifts and trends that are emerging. Frankly, I'd be far more nervous living in Miami (sea level rise) or Las Vegas (running out of water) or Sacramento (brush fires) than I would here in Minneapolis. And if Minneapolis ranks #2 why is St. Paul #8. They are 12 miles apart. That doesn't make sense (to me).
Damaging Downburst Within Developing Derecho Sunday Night. The Brainerd Dispatch has an update on the ferocity of winds that tore into the Brainerd Lakes area; a supercell-spawned downburst, a sudden and severe downdraft of rain and hail-cooled air descending from the severe thunderstorms that hit the ground, spread out, and produced winds as high as 100 MPH over Pillsbury State Park just northwest of Brainerd. 100 MPH is equivalent to the winds within an EF-1 tornado. Here's an excerpt: "...A meteorologist assessed the damage in the lakes area before determining the downburst, which may also be called straight-line winds, was the factor here not a tornado. The main damage path was 8 miles long and 3 miles wide..."
Photo credit above: "A swath of trees lay blown over Monday after a super cell thunderstorm hit the Brainerd lakes area with near category 1 hurricane force winds." (Kelly Humphrey, Brainerd Dispatch)
Dear Mr Douglas,
Thank you for your article in the Star Tribune on the "Derecho". My husband and I were in a small cabin on East Gull Lake at Madden's when the Storm hit. We were with our two little girls ages 2 and 4. We didn't realize the risk of this particular Storm until it was too late to take shelter at main lodge. The sound we could hear moving closer and closer to our cabin, I was convinced was a tornado. It was a very distinct sound- my husband and I have never experienced such fear. We were lucky that everything fell around the cabin and although there was severe destruction outside and the cabin shook like crazy- it kept us unharmed! The sound was all we had to measure the path it could be taking. We can see a path that goes right past our cabin. We have photos and video of our experience but nothing of the 30 minutes we spent in the bathtub of the cabin before moving to the most interior spot in the cabin between the bed and a wall. I'm also 7.5 months pregnant so my instincts are in full force. I'm finding it very frustrating that nobody can confirm we experienced what we know was a tornado. Please share with me your opinion. It would be so appreciated. It was literally the most terrifying moments in my life. And complete powerlessness over the force of nature. Thank you. - Ann Berg
Ann - there is no confirmation of a tornado in the Gull Lake area Sunday evening, but it was a developing derecho with severe straight-line winds, possibly in excess of 70-80 mph for the better part of 5-10 minutes, capable of bringing down big trees. Closer to Pillsbury State Forest winds may have topped 100 mph in a violent downburst, but the damage and debris field is consistent with straight-line winds, not tornadoes. I was at our cabin on Pelican Lake for the event and I can confirm the roar of that storm as it came through. Awe-inspiring - and terrifying.
Image credit above: "
Image credit above: "Tesla broke ground on its Gigafactory in June 2014 outside Sparks, Nevada." Photo credit: Tesla Motors.
Image credit above: eledoremassis02 / Deviant Art. "Main Entrance".
TODAY: Hazy sun, lake-worthy. Dew point: 67 Winds: SW 10. High: near 90 (heat index: low 90s)
FRIDAY NIGHT: Humid with T-storms late. Low: 71
SATURDAY: Sticky sun, few T-storms. Dew point: 72. High: 92 (heat index: mid to upper 90s)
SUNDAY: Plenty of sun, less humid. Dew point: 59. Wake-up: 68. High: 85
MONDAY: Sunny, plenty warm. Wake-up: 67. High: 88
TUESDAY: Bright sun, a bit more comfortable. Wake-up: 68. High: 85
WEDNESDAY: Murky sun, nighttime T-storms. Wake-up: 65. High: 83
THURSDAY: Damp start, then sticky sunshine. Wake-up: 66. High: 85
Photo credit above: "University of California-Irvine and JPL glaciologists aboard the Cape Race in August 2014 mapped for the first time remote Greenland fjords and ice melt that’s raising sea levels around the globe." Credit: Maria Stenzel.
Photo credit above: "ExxonMobil pledged in 2007 to stop funding climate denial." Photograph: Michelle Christenson/AP.
Image credit above: "The global mean temperature difference is shown for the time period 1900 to 2100 for the IPCC A2 emissions scenario. The red line shows predicted temperature change for the current level of solar activity, the blue line shows predicted temperature change for solar activity at the much lower level of the Maunder Minimum, and the black line shows observed temperatures through 2010." Adapted from Feulner & Rahmstorf (2010) by SkepticalScience.com.
Photo credit above: "Flames and smoke cover the hillsides near Yucca Valley in California during a June wildfire." (NPS/Brad Sutton).