October 6, 1987: Snow falls over Arrowhead region.
26.88 inches of rain just fell at Boone Hall Plantation, South Carolina in about 3 days. That's 2 hurricanes worth of rain; roughly the amount of precipitation MSP sees in an entire YEAR!
Weather systems stalled; a firehose of tropical moisture from "Joaquin" focused on the Carolinas. When the weather stalls bad things often result, in this case historic, unprecedented rains.
I've seen a few conspiracy theories, suggesting a government cover-up: "HAARP weather modification gone bad". Uh huh. Yes, climate change is a hoax, the Apollo moon landings were faked and Washington D.C. is run by a race of lizard-people.
Well, that last one may be true.
Extreme rains are on the rise. For the record, Minnesota has experienced 4 separate 1-in-1,000 year flash flood events since 2004.
The mercury flirts with 70F today & Wednesday; 80F is not out of the question Sunday. Technically we can't call it Indian Summer until the first frost, which may be 2 weeks away by my calculations.
Rain settles the dust Thursday; otherwise dry with a mild bias. It's still October, right? Just checking.
* Birmingham TV meteorologist James Spann (highlighted in a tweet above) is a living legend, not only in Alabama, but across much of the USA. He knosw his stuff - and updates a daily weather blog.
Map credit above: "
…it is a statistical way of expressing the probability of something happening in any given year. A “100 year” storm event has a one in one hundred or 1% chance of happening in any given year. A “500 year” event has a one in five hundred or .2% chance of happening in any year.
Photo credit above: "Flood waters climb up the walls of homes in Columbia, S.C., Sunday, Oct. 4, 2015. The rainstorm drenching the U.S. East Coast brought more misery Sunday to South Carolina, cutting power to thousands, forcing hundreds of water rescues and closing many roads because of floodwaters." (AP Photo/Chuck Burton).
South Carolina Flood is 6th, 1000-Year Rain since 2010. Doyle Rose has the story at USA TODAY; here's the introduction: "The biblical flooding in South Carolina is at least the sixth so-called 1-in-1,000 year rain event in the U.S. since 2010, a trend that may be linked to factors ranging from the natural, such as a strong El Niño, to the man-made, namely climate change. So many "1-in-1,000 year" rainfalls is unprecedented, said meteorologist Steve Bowen of Aon Benfield, a global reinsurance firm. "We have certainly had our fair share in the United States in recent years, and any increasing trend in these type of rainfall events is highly concerning," Bowen said..." (File photo: USGS).
Photo credit above: U.S. Geological Survey/flickr
- The October precipitation outlook
tilts towards below-normal conditions for all Minnesota counties.
Normal October precipitation ranges from one and one-half inches in
northwestern Minnesota, to over two and one-half inches in portions of
[see: Climate Prediction Center 30-day Outlook | October Precipitation Normal Map]
- The October temperature outlook favors above-normal conditions across Minnesota. Normal October high temperatures fall from the low to mid-60s early in the month, to the upper 40s by month's end. Normal October low temperatures drop from the low 40s early in the month to near 30 by late October..." (Map above: Midwest Regional Climate Center).
WEDNESDAY: Sunny start, PM clouds. Winds: SE 7-12. High: 69
THURSDAY: Showers taper, slow PM clearing. Wake-up: 57. High: 65
FRIDAY: Plenty of sun, very nice. Wake-up: 47. High: 62
SATURDAY: Sunny, mild breeze. Winds: SW 10-20. Wake-up: 49. High: 71
SUNDAY: October sweat. Warm sunshine! Winds: SW 10-15. Wake-up: 56. High: 78
MONDAY: Sunny, too nice to work. Wake-up: 60. High: 75
Photo credit above: "Hunter Baker surveys flood damage to his neighborhood near the flooded Black Creek, following heavy rains in Florence, South Carolina, Monday, October 5, 2015."
Photo credit above: "Overall aerial view shows historic Charleston at the Battery with minor flooding still visible in Charleston, S.C., Monday, Oct. 5, 2015. The Charleston and surrounding areas are still struggling with flood waters due to a slow moving storm system." (AP Photo/Mic Smith)
Enemies of the Sun. Here's an excerpt of a Paul Krugman Op-Ed at The New York Times: "...Part of the answer is surely that promotion of renewable energy is linked in many people’s minds with attempts to limit climate change — and climate denial has become a key part of conservative identity. The truth is that climate impact isn’t the only cost of burning fossil fuels, that fossil-fuel-associated pollutants like particulates and ozone inflict huge, measurable damage and are major reasons to support alternative energy. Furthermore, renewables are getting close to being cost-competitive even in the absence of special incentives (and don’t forget that oil and gas have long been subsidized by the tax code.) But the association with climate science evokes visceral hostility on the right..." (File image: SolarCity).
Photo credit above: "The village of Qannaaq, Greenland, in the Arctic, is built on permafrost." Credit: Andy Mahoney/NSIDC.