35 F. average high on November 26.
26 F. high on November 26, 2014.
1.3" snow fell at MSP International Airport yesterday.
November 27, 2005: In the early morning a home in Mower County is hit by lightning and burned to the ground, but no one is injured.
November 27, 1994: A low pressure system produces the first winter storm of the season for Minnesota. By the early morning hours of the 28th, a swath of snow in excess of 6 inches had blanketed much of southwest through central into northeast Minnesota. Snowfall of 6 inches or more occurred south of a line from Gunflint Lake in Cook County to near Ortonville in Big Stone County, and along and north of a line from near Blue Earth in Faribault County to Red Wing in Goodhue County. The snow closed the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport for a short time on the 27th, and contributed to hundreds of accidents and at least three fatalities. In addition, the build-up of ice and snow in combination with strong winds resulted in numerous downed power lines in southeast Minnesota.
November 27, 1985: Extreme cold hits northern Minnesota. A low of 30 below zero is reported at Crookston.
November 27, 1971: Heavy snow falls in southwest Minnesota, with Redwood Falls receiving a foot.
"Pacific Vortex": A Year Without a (real) Winter?
Yesterday's candy-coating of snow may have been an omen of the winter to come. It would be premature to write off big snowstorms or polar blasts, but I'm seeing cues in the weather that lead me to believe this may be a typical winter - for Topeka, Kansas.
November in the Twin Cities is 9.1 F warmer than average, to date. Dr. Mark Seeley predicts this may be one of the 3 warmest Novembers ever recorded.
Thank (or blame) El Nino. Record warmth bubbling out of the Pacific Ocean spawned a Category 4 hurricane off the west coast of Mexico on Thanksgiving Day; the latest ever recorded. A balmy westerly wind howling from the Pacific is overwhelming cold fronts oozing across Siberia into Canada. The coldest air is bottled up to our north, while the main storm track whisks sloppy storms south of Minnesota.
Expect chilled sunshine today and Saturday; temperatures a few degrees below average for a change. An inch or two of slush is possible Tuesday before the next warming trend. No 60s or 70s - but models hint at a few 40s by mid-December.
A pioneer winter this year? I don't think so.
* Image credit above: Climate Reanalyzer.
Accumulating Snow Monday-Tuesday? It's still early, but NOAA's GFS model brings a smear of accumulating snow back into Minnesota by Tuesday of next week, hinting at a potentially plowable accumulation, especially for far southern Minnesota. Stating the obvious: we're due. Source: AerisWeather.
Mild Bias Spills into mid-December. Check out predicted (GFS) 500 mb winds the evening of December 11, still primarily zonal across the USA, no frigid air showing up across most of North America. This looks like something out of mid-October.
Image credit above: "VIIRS infrared satellite image of Hurricane Sandra taken at 3:15 pm EST November 25, 2015. At the time, Sandra was a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds." Image credit: Dan Lindsey, NOAA/CIRA.
Image credit above: "Brian Smoliak and research fellow Phil Mykleby install a temperature sensor at the Minnesota Landscape Arboretum." Photo Credit: Angeline Pendergrass
TODAY: Chilled sunshine, dry. Winds: N 10-15. High: near 30
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear and chilly. Low: 14
SATURDAY: Blue sky, thawing out a little. Winds: SW 7-12. High: 36
SUNDAY: Partly sunny, seasonably cool. Winds: W 5-10. Wake-up: 17. High: 38
MONDAY: Clouds increase, light snow late. Wake-up: 25. High: 37
TUESDAY: Slushy mix, potential for a couple inches? Wake-up: 30. High: 34
WEDNESDAY: Slick start? Clearing skies. Wake-up: 22. High: 32
THURSDAY: Plenty of sun, turning milder. Wake-up: 24. High: near 40
Photo credit above: "Road markings appear distorted during a heatwave, in New Delhi, India, 27 May 2015." Photograph: Harish Tyagi/EPA.
Image credit above: "
Photo credit above: "House Science Committee Chairman Lamar Smith, R-Texas, has put federal climate scientists in his crosshairs."