34 F. average high on November 27.
10 F. high on November 27, 2014.
1" snow on the ground at MSP as of Saturday morning.
November 28, 1983: Widespread snowfall occurs across much of central Minnesota with snowfall totals at or above 1 foot in many areas. A record 15 inches fell in Gaylord and 14 inches fell in Farmington.
November 28, 1960: A major storm produces near hurricane force winds on Lake Superior, with 20 to 40 foot waves on the lake. Erosion and damage occurred on the North Shore.
In Search of "Average"
Accumulating - Potentially Plowable - Snow by Tuesday?
A year ago 9.4 inches of snow fell on MSP during the month of November. We had already seen our first subzero low; Minnesota's lakes were icing up. Snow lovers were encouraged. This year some lawns are still pale-green, there's open water on most lakes and Thursday's 1.3 inch snowfall qualified as a "storm". Average November snowfall in the Twin Cities is 9.3 inches. Not this year.
Cool sun spills over into Sunday as weather cooperates with holiday shopping - getting home shouldn't be an issue. Old Man Winter will be well-behaved until Monday night and Tuesday, when a spoke of southern
moisture rotates north, the lowest mile of the atmosphere marginally cold enough for a few inches of snow. It's too early to predict specific amounts but Tuesday's commute may be problematic.
There just isn't any frigid air across North America, and long-range models show a mild bias into mid-December as steering winds blow from the Pacific. Could the pattern shift in January? Possible, but El
Nino is forecast to linger into at least spring of 2016.
The maps remind me of 2011-2012, when 22.3 inches fell at MSP.
* GFS guidance above (showing a potential for "plowable" amounts of snow late Monday into Tuesday, especially southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin, courtesy of NOAA and AerisWeather.
Image credit above: "Brian Smoliak and research fellow Phil Mykleby install a temperature sensor at the Minnesota Landscape Arboretum." Photo Credit: Angeline Pendergrass
TODAY: Sunny, seasonably cool. Winds: SW 5-10. High: 33
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and chilly. Low: 18
SUNDAY: Partly sunny, no travel headaches getting home. Winds: E 3-8. High: 39
MONDAY: Clouds increase, snow at night. Wake-up: 23. High: 36
TUESDAY: Few inches of snow possible. Slippery roads. Wake-up: 30. High: 34
WEDNESDAY: Slushy start, skies begin to clear. Wake-up: 26. High: 38
THURSDAY: Plenty of sun, trending milder. Wake-up: 22. High: near 40
FRIDAY: Partly sunny, melting snow. Wake-up: 25. High: 42