36 F. average high on November 25.
24 F. high on November 25, 2014.
8.9 F. November in the Twin Cities is running nearly 9 degrees warmer than average, to date.
November 26, 2001: A strong low pressure system develops in Colorado on the 25th, reached eastern Iowa during the evening of the 26th, then moved into eastern Wisconsin late on the 27th. It produced a wide swath of heavy snow across much of central Minnesota into West Central Wisconsin. Storm total snowfall of 8 inches or more was common, with a large area exceeding 20 inches. Specifically, Willmar picked up 30.4 inches, New London saw 28.5 inches, Collegeville had 23.4 inches, Litchfield and Granite Falls received 22 inches, and Milan had 20 inches. A convective snow band set up across this area on the 27th and remained nearly stationary for over 12 hours, resulting in the extreme storm totals. From 8 am on the 26th to 8 am on the 27th, Willmar received 21 of its 30.4 inches, setting a record for most snowfall in Willmar in a 24 hour period. The heavy wet snow downed numerous power lines, and at one point, at least 20,000 customers were without power in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area. Over one thousand traffic accidents were noted across the entire area. Most were minor, but one accident claimed two lives when a car spun out and collided with a semi near Mora.
November 26, 1995: A narrow band of five to eight inches of snow falls from west central Minnesota around Canby and Granite Falls to east central Minnesota. This included much of the Twin Cities metro area.
November 26, 1965: A snowstorm develops across northern Minnesota. 14.7 inches of snow fell at Duluth, along with 13.6 inches at Grand Rapids.
November 26, 1896: A severe Thanksgiving day ice storm develops over southwest and central Minnesota. 1.42 inches of freezing rain falls at Bird Island, and 1.20 inches of freezing rain falls at Montevideo. The ice causes a great deal of damage to trees and shrubs. Source for historical weather data: NOAA.
"If the only prayer you said in your whole life was "thank you" that would suffice" wrote Meister Eckhart.
My wife and I just returned from the Middle East: Israel, the West Bank, Jordan and Dubai, which is a blend of Las Vegas, New York and Disneyworld. We saw Syrian refugee settlements in Amman, Jordan and heard some heartbreaking stories. After a trip like that you return with new eyes, and a heightened sense of gratitude.
In what may be an omen of a "stunted winter" to come today's storm (it hardly fits the definition) tracks south of MSP. A couple inches of slush may fall on Mankato and Rochester, a coating to an inch for the metro, with most roads staying wet. No. Big. Deal.
El Nino winters tend to be milder, with a majority of the biggest storms tracking south of Minnesota. We'll see snow and cold, but probably not in the volume we're all accustomed to.
Expect dry roads and chilled sunshine Friday and Saturday; the next chance of light flurries late Sunday. Long range models show a relatively mild, Pacific wind flow returning by mid-December.
The WMO says 2011-2015 was the warmest 5 year period on record, worldwide. Details below. A happy and safe Thanksgiving to you and yours.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM THANKSGIVING DAY. THIS ADVISORY IS MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRMONT TO RED WIND MINNESOTA...TO MENOMONIE AND LADYSMITH WISCONSIN. A MIXTURE OF SLEET...FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE MIXING AND CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BY THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL DURING THE AFTERNOON ONCE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO ALL SNOW. A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL OCCUR IN THE ADVISORY AREA WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO ELEVATED OBJECTS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.
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Supercomputers, Tornadoes, and the Biggest Unsolved Mystery in Weather Technology? Tornado warnings or "alerts" hours in advance? I wouldn't rule it out in our lifetime, certainly our kid's lifetimes. Here's an excerpt of an interesting article at The Atlantic: "...There are some technologies that can help. A specific radar signature called a “debris ball,” for example, suggests that there is debris in the air from a tornado having wrecked something. Some researchers believe improvements in radar could eventually mean reliable tornado warnings up to an hour ahead of time. Vaccaro says he can imagine even longer lead-time, given enough observational data and the processing power from supercomputers to analyze it. Computers already process trillions of weather-related data points per second, which is a large part of why long-term forecasting accuracy, in general, is so much better today than it was even a decade ago..."
Photo credit above: " Gene Blevins / Reuters.
THANKSGIVING DAY: Cloud with a slushy coating of snow possible; maybe 1" by early tonight. Winds: N 10-15. High: 33
THURSDAY NIGHT: Flurries taper, some slick roads, especially south/east of MSP. Low: 22
FRIDAY: Chilled sunshine, risk of shopping. Winds: N 8-13. High: 32
SATURDAY: Blue sky, light winds, heavy jackets. Winds: SW 5-10. Wake-up: 18. High: 36
SUNDAY: Clouds increase, chance of light snow or flurries PM hours. Winds: W 7-12. Wake-up: 23. High: 37
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy, few flurries. Wake-up: 28. high: 35
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, chill in the air. Wake-up: 27. High: 34
WEDNESDAY: More sun, thawing out a little. Wake-up: 24. High: 39
Photo credit above: "Road markings appear distorted during a heatwave, in New Delhi, India, 27 May 2015." Photograph: Harish Tyagi/EPA.
New Study Finds No "Substantive Evidence" of a Global Warming "Pause". Chris Mooney reports on a new study that confirms there never was a warming hiatus - the warming is uneven but NASA data confirms NOAA's recent findings; here's an excerpt of his story at The Washington Post: "Even as Lamar Smith (R-Tx.), chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, continues to investigate a high profile study from federal scientists debunking the idea of a global warming slowdown or “pause,” a new study reaches the same conclusion — in a different yet complementary way. “There is no substantive evidence for a ‘pause’ or ‘hiatus’ in warming,” write Stephan Lewandowsky, a professor at the University of Bristol in the UK, and two colleagues in Tuesday’s Nature Scientific Reports. “We suggest that the use of those terms is therefore inaccurate...”
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Photo credit above: "House Science Committee Chairman Lamar Smith, R-Texas, has put federal climate scientists in his crosshairs."