According to NOAA's SPC, the PRELIMINARY 2017 tornado count is 1192 (through July 25). Note that is the most active year for tornadoes since 2011, when there were 1,664 tornadoes. Keep in mind there was a major tornado outbreak in the Gulf Coast region from April 25-28, 2011 that spawned nearly 500 tornadoes, some of which were deadly. That outbreak is known as the Super Outbreak of 2011 and has gone down in history as one of the biggest, costliest and one of the deadliest tornado outbreaks in history.
2.) Periods of heavy rain across portions of the Central and Southern Rockies and the Central and Southern Plains, Sat-Wed, Jul 29-Aug 2.
3.) Flooding possible, likely, occurring or imminent across portions of the Upper and Middle Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes.
4.) Flooding possible across portions of the Central and Southern Plains, the Central and Southern Rockies, and the Rio Grande Valley.
5.) Moderate risk of much above-normal temperatures for portions of the Central Valley of California, Thu-Fri, Aug 3-Aug 4.
6.) Moderate risk of much above-normal temperatures for portions of the Northern Intermountain West, Thu, Aug 3.
7.) Slight risk of much above-normal temperatures for portions of the Great Basin, the Northern Plains, the Northern Rockies, California, the Pacific Northwest, and the Southwest, Thu-Mon, Aug 3-Aug 7.
8.)Severe Drought across parts of the Great Plains, Arizona, California, and Hawaii.
"Unlike us humans, soybeans and wheat can't turn to acupuncture or aromatherapy when they're stressed out. And, yes, plants can certainly feel stress. Stress that's caused by too little moisture and exacerbated by high temperatures. "Agricultural stress occurs when crops do not have adequate soil water during their growth cycle," explained agricultural researcher Christopher Hain. "Even if the stress doesn't lead to failure of the crop, it can have significant impacts on end-of-season yield. "Now a new tool is letting the U.S. agriculture community tap into space-based data to see this stress before it takes its toll."
See more from Phys.org HERE:
(ESI for the 3-month period ending August 31, 2016. Color indicates evapotranspiration rates. Red shading indicates anomalously low rates, and green shading represents anomalously high rates. Credit: NASA)
"The stunted wheat plants on Robert Ferebee’s parched North Dakota farm were in the worst condition he’d seen in almost three decades. Rather than wait until late July or early August to harvest the crop, Ferebee decided last month to cut his losses and his fields. A drought across the northern Great Plains has forced growers like Ferebee to conclude that their wheat would be more valuable as cattle feed than baker’s flour. They are collecting the crop early -- in some cases before grain kernels have fully formed -- to avoid further damage, and then bundling the tillers and leaves into hay-like bales rather than sending them through a thresher."
See more from Bloomberg HERE:
"U.S. western agricultural states getting hammered by drought"
"Farmers and scientists in North Dakota, Montana, and South Dakota are praying for rain and preparing for a drought that could cripple the region for decades. "It's been a brutal summer," Montana State University (MSU) scientist Darrin Boss told Xinhua Tuesday, who saw no end in sight to the conditions.Boss is one of 21 scientists at MSU's esteemed 7,000-acre (28.3 square km) Agriculture Research Center near Bozeman, Montana. "It's a crisis ... way more than people think," Mark Watne, president of the North Dakota Farmers Union, said Monday. "I've driven through areas where you would expect to see a spindly wheat stand, but there's no crop left -- it's gone," Watne said. North Dakota, South Dakota and Montana are all experiencing debilitating 2017 droughts that are forcing farmers and politicians to clamor for federal relief."
See more from Xinhaunet.com HERE:
"Exceptional drought in Northern Plains in July 2017"
"The Northern Plains were in the midst of a punishing drought in July 2017. Along with a lack of rainfall, the weekly average temperature was more than 90°F for a swath of the region from Montana southward to Kansas, which further accelerated the development of extreme to exception drought in parts of Montana and North and South Dakota. According to the July 18 report from the U.S. Drought Monitor project, 22% of Montana was in severe or exceptional drought. Across an additional 23% of the state, drought conditions were ranked as moderate to severe. In North Dakota, more than 70 percent of the state was in some level of drought, with 40% of that being extreme or exceptional."
See more from Climate.gov HERE:
According to the US Drought Monitor, parts of Montana are now under an EXCEPTIONAL Drought. While nearly 2% is considered to be in an EXCEPTIONAL drought, 22% is under an EXTREME drought. Also, nearly 65% of the state is considered to be either abnormally dry or in some type of drought.
EXCEPTIONAL Drought in North Dakota
**Gujarat has received 408mm in July (till July 25) the most rainfall received in July in the last decade.
**Eight districts have received more than 70% rains of their average annual rainfall.
By Todd Nelson, filling in for DouglasWe're less than one month away from what is being dubbed as the "Great American Eclipse" and the anticipation is palpable. A total eclipse of the sun will stretch from Salem, Oregon to Columbia, South Carolina on August 21st. Interestingly, this will be the first solar eclipse in the Lower 48 since February 26, 1979; a span of more than 38 years! The next total solar eclipse in the U.S. won't happen until April 8, 2024 and will stretch from Texas to Maine. If you can wait around until September 14, 2099, a total eclipse of the sun will occur right over the Twin Cities - I'll be 117 years young.
I am happy to report that weather conditions will be nearly perfect over the next few days as a bubble of high pressure slowly drifts across the Great Lakes. Sunny, dry and comfortable temperatures will be with us through Saturday... You're welcome!
Lawns and gardens might start to look a little parched by the weekend, but a few late-day rumbles could help freshen things up by Sunday. Temps remain mild with no hot fronts in sight. I'll take it
Average Low: 64F (Record: 49F set in 1971)
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 20th): ~45 minutes
2.3 Days Before First Quarter Moon
Click image to enlarge. Credit: Hsiang, et al. 2017)